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Economic Consequence Analysis of Disasters - The E-CAT Software Tool (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2017)
Loot Price: R2,296
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Economic Consequence Analysis of Disasters - The E-CAT Software Tool (Hardcover, 1st ed. 2017)
Series: Integrated Disaster Risk Management
Expected to ship within 12 - 17 working days
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This study develops a methodology for rapidly obtaining approximate
estimates of the economic consequences from numerous natural,
man-made and technological threats. This software tool is intended
for use by various decision makers and analysts to obtain estimates
rapidly. It is programmed in Excel and Visual Basic for
Applications (VBA) to facilitate its use. This tool is called E-CAT
(Economic Consequence Analysis Tool) and accounts for the
cumulative direct and indirect impacts (including resilience and
behavioral factors that significantly affect base estimates) on the
U.S. economy. E-CAT is intended to be a major step toward advancing
the current state of economic consequence analysis (ECA) and also
contributing to and developing interest in further research into
complex but rapid turnaround approaches. The essence of the
methodology involves running numerous simulations in a computable
general equilibrium (CGE) model for each threat, yielding synthetic
data for the estimation of a single regression equation based on
the identification of key explanatory variables (threat
characteristics and background conditions). This transforms the
results of a complex model, which is beyond the reach of most
users, into a "reduced form" model that is readily comprehensible.
Functionality has been built into E-CAT so that its users can
switch various consequence categories on and off in order to create
customized profiles of economic consequences of numerous risk
events. E-CAT incorporates uncertainty on both the input and output
side in the course of the analysis.
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