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Exchange Rate Determination and Optimal Economic Policy Under Various Exchange Rate Regimes (Paperback, 1991 ed.)
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Exchange Rate Determination and Optimal Economic Policy Under Various Exchange Rate Regimes (Paperback, 1991 ed.)
Series: Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, 359
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Total price: R1,528
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1.1 Some characteristics of the floating exchange rate system The
flexible exchange rate system has functioned far less
satisfactorily than many anticipated in 1973, when the major
industrialized countries decided to let their currencies float. The
dominant currencies' exchange rates have fluctuated more 1 than
expected. These fluctuations concern both short-term movement-
intraday fluctuations and movements during a week or a month - and
long term changes that last for more than a year. Daily percentage
changes of one percent are not unusual for the recent float (see
MacDonald, 1988, p.8). However, the release of new information can
give rise to much larger changes. For example in August 1987 "the
dollar moved down 6 percent in two days based on the July trade
figures" (Glynn, 1988, p. 36). For the period 1973-1985 MacDonald
(1988, p.10) presents minimum and maximum monthly percentage
exchange rate changes. These figures clearly illustrate the
magnitude of the volatility and also show that the volatility has
not diminished as the experience 2 with floating has increased. In
addition to this volatility, exchange rates are also characterized
by misalignment: "persistent departure of the exchange rate from
its long-run equilibrium" (Williamson, 1983, p.l3). Although the
measure of misalignment depends upon the exact definition of the
exchange rate's long-run equilibrium, there is a widespread feeling
that during the greater part of the 1970s the dollar was
undervalued, whereas it was overvalued during the first half of the
1980s."
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