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Radical Uncertainty - Decision-Making For An Unknowable Future (Paperback)
Loot Price: R403
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Radical Uncertainty - Decision-Making For An Unknowable Future (Paperback)
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List price R485
Loot Price R403
Discovery Miles 4 030
You Save R82 (17%)
Expected to ship within 9 - 15 working days
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'A brilliant new book'
Daily Telegraph
'Well written . . . and often entertaining'
The Times
'A sparkling analysis'
Prospect
'Entertaining and enlightening . . . This is a necessary critique and
they make it with verve, knowledge and a wealth of stories'
Financial Times
When uncertainty is all around us, and the facts are not clear, how can
we make good decisions?
We do not know what the future will hold, particularly in the midst of
a crisis, but we must make decisions anyway. We regularly crave
certainties which cannot exist and invent knowledge we cannot have,
forgetting that humans are successful because we have adapted to an
environment that we understand only imperfectly. Throughout history we
have developed a variety of ways of coping with the radical uncertainty
that defines our lives.
This incisive and eye-opening book draws on biography, history,
mathematics, economics and philosophy to highlight the most successful
- and most short-sighted - methods of dealing with an unknowable
future. Ultimately, the authors argue, the prevalent method of our age
falls short, giving us a false understanding of our power to make
predictions, leading to many of the problems we experience today.
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