This thesis consists of three essays on the relationship between
consumption, the business cycle, and expected returns on financial
assets. The first essay is "A Consumption-Based Explanation of
Expected Stock Returns." A revised version of the essay was
published in The Journal of Finance 61: 2 (April 2006), pp.
539-580. The second essay is "Estimating the Elasticity of
Intertemporal Substitution When Instruments Are Weak." The essay
was published in The Review of Economics and Statistics 86: 3
(August 2004), pp. 797-810. The third essay is "Efficient Tests of
Stock Return Predictability," coauthored by John Y. Campbell. A
revised version of the essay was published in the Journal of
Financial Economics 81: 1 (July 2006), pp. 27-60. The thesis was
awarded the 2005 Zellner Thesis Award in Business and Economic
Statistics by the American Statistical Association.
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