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Migration is among the central domestic and global political issues
of today. Yet the causes and consequences - and the relationship
between migration and global markets - are poorly understood.
Migration is both costly and risky, so why do people decide to
migrate? What are the political, social, economic, and
environmental factors that cause people to leave their homes and
seek a better life elsewhere? Leblang and Helms argue that
political factors - the ability to participate in the political
life of a destination - are as important as economic and social
factors. Most migrants don't cut ties with their homeland but
continue to be engaged, both economically and politically. Migrants
continue to serve as a conduit for information, helping drive
investment to their homelands. The authors combine theory with a
wealth of micro and macro evidence to demonstrate that migration
isn't static, after all, but continuously fluid.
The authors examine the conditions under which democratic events,
including elections, cabinet formations, and government
dissolutions, affect asset markets. Where these events have less
predictable outcomes, market returns are depressed and volatility
increases. In contrast, where market actors can forecast the
result, returns do not exhibit any unusual behavior. Further,
political expectations condition how markets respond to the
political process. When news causes market actors to update their
political beliefs, market actors reallocate their portfolios, and
overall market behavior changes. To measure political information,
Professors Bernhard and Leblang employ sophisticated models of the
political process. They draw on a variety of models of market
behavior, including the efficient markets hypothesis, capital asset
pricing model, and arbitrage pricing theory, to trace the impact of
political events on currency, stock, and bond markets. The analysis
will appeal to academics, graduate students, and advanced
undergraduates across political science, economics, and finance.
Migration is among the central domestic and global political issues
of today. Yet the causes and consequences - and the relationship
between migration and global markets - are poorly understood.
Migration is both costly and risky, so why do people decide to
migrate? What are the political, social, economic, and
environmental factors that cause people to leave their homes and
seek a better life elsewhere? Leblang and Helms argue that
political factors - the ability to participate in the political
life of a destination - are as important as economic and social
factors. Most migrants don't cut ties with their homeland but
continue to be engaged, both economically and politically. Migrants
continue to serve as a conduit for information, helping drive
investment to their homelands. The authors combine theory with a
wealth of micro and macro evidence to demonstrate that migration
isn't static, after all, but continuously fluid.
The authors examine the conditions under which democratic events,
including elections, cabinet formations, and government
dissolutions, affect asset markets. Where these events have less
predictable outcomes, market returns are depressed and volatility
increases. In contrast, where market actors can forecast the
result, returns do not exhibit any unusual behavior. Further,
political expectations condition how markets respond to the
political process. When news causes market actors to update their
political beliefs, market actors reallocate their portfolios, and
overall market behavior changes. To measure political information,
Professors Bernhard and Leblang employ sophisticated models of the
political process. They draw on a variety of models of market
behavior, including the efficient markets hypothesis, capital asset
pricing model, and arbitrage pricing theory, to trace the impact of
political events on currency, stock, and bond markets. The analysis
will appeal to academics, graduate students, and advanced
undergraduates across political science, economics, and finance.
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