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Identity Crisis - The 2016 Presidential Campaign and the Battle for the Meaning of America (Hardcover): John Sides, Michael... Identity Crisis - The 2016 Presidential Campaign and the Battle for the Meaning of America (Hardcover)
John Sides, Michael Tesler, Lynn Vavreck
R764 R564 Discovery Miles 5 640 Save R200 (26%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days

A gripping in-depth account of the 2016 presidential election that explains Donald Trump's historic victory Donald Trump's election victory stunned the world. How did he pull it off? Was it his appeal to alienated voters in the battleground states? Was it Hillary Clinton and the scandals associated with her long career in politics? Were key factors already in place before the nominees were even chosen? Identity Crisis provides a gripping account of the campaign that appeared to break all the political rules--but in fact didn't. Identity Crisis takes readers from the bruising primaries to an election night whose outcome defied the predictions of the pollsters and pundits. The book shows how fundamental characteristics of the nation and its politics--the state of the economy, the Obama presidency, and the demographics of the political parties--combined with the candidates' personalities and rhetoric to produce one of the most unexpected presidencies in history. Early on, the fundamental characteristics predicted an extremely close election. And even though Trump's many controversies helped Clinton maintain a comfortable lead for most of the campaign, the prediction of a close election became reality when Americans cast their votes. Identity Crisis reveals how Trump's victory was foreshadowed by changes in the Democratic and Republican coalitions that were driven by people's racial and ethnic identities. The campaign then reinforced and exacerbated those cleavages as it focused on issues related to race, immigration, and religion. The result was an epic battle not just for the White House but about what America is and should be.

Identity Crisis - The 2016 Presidential Campaign and the Battle for the Meaning of America (Paperback, 2nd edition): John... Identity Crisis - The 2016 Presidential Campaign and the Battle for the Meaning of America (Paperback, 2nd edition)
John Sides, Michael Tesler, Lynn Vavreck; Afterword by John Sides, Michael Tesler, …
R424 R346 Discovery Miles 3 460 Save R78 (18%) Ships in 7 - 11 working days

A gripping in-depth look at the presidential election that stunned the world Donald Trump's election victory resulted in one of the most unexpected presidencies in history. Identity Crisis provides the definitive account of the campaign that seemed to break all the political rules-but in fact didn't. Featuring a new afterword by the authors that discusses the 2018 midterms and today's emerging political trends, this compelling book describes how Trump's victory was foreshadowed by changes in the Democratic and Republican coalitions that were driven by people's racial and ethnic identities, and how the Trump campaign exacerbated these divisions by hammering away on race, immigration, and religion. The result was an epic battle not just for the White House but about what America should be.

The Message Matters - The Economy and Presidential Campaigns (Paperback, New): Lynn Vavreck The Message Matters - The Economy and Presidential Campaigns (Paperback, New)
Lynn Vavreck
R818 R637 Discovery Miles 6 370 Save R181 (22%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days

The economy is so powerful in determining the results of U.S. presidential elections that political scientists can predict winners and losers with amazing accuracy long before the campaigns start. But if it is true that "it's the economy, Stupid," why do incumbents in good economies sometimes lose? The reason, Lynn Vavreck argues, is that what matters is not just the state of the economy but how candidates react to it. By demonstrating more precisely than ever before how candidates and their campaigns affect the economic vote, "The Message Matters" provides a powerful new way of understanding past elections--and predicting future ones.

Vavreck examines the past sixty years of presidential elections and offers a new theory of campaigns that explains why electoral victory requires more than simply being the candidate favored by prevailing economic conditions. Using data from presidential elections since 1952, she reveals why, when, and how campaign messages make a difference--and when they can outweigh economic predictors of election outcomes.

"The Message Matters" does more than show why candidates favored by the economy must build their campaigns around economic messages. Vavreck's theory also explains why candidates disadvantaged by the economy must try to focus their elections on noneconomic issues that meet exacting criteria--and why this is so hard to do.

The Gamble - Choice and Chance in the 2012 Presidential Election - Updated Edition (Paperback, Revised edition): John Sides,... The Gamble - Choice and Chance in the 2012 Presidential Election - Updated Edition (Paperback, Revised edition)
John Sides, Lynn Vavreck; Preface by John Sides, Lynn Vavreck
R481 R393 Discovery Miles 3 930 Save R88 (18%) Ships in 7 - 11 working days

"Game changer." We heard it so many times during the 2012 U.S. presidential election. But what actually made a difference in the contest--and what was just hype? In this groundbreaking book, John Sides and Lynn Vavreck tell the dramatic story of the election--with a big difference. Using an unusual "moneyball" approach and drawing on extensive quantitative data, they look beyond the anecdote, folklore, and conventional wisdom that often pass for election analysis to separate what was truly important from what was irrelevant. The Gamble combines this data with the best social science research and colorful on-the-ground reporting, providing the most accurate and precise account of the election yet written--and the only book of its kind. In a new preface, the authors reflect on the place of The Gamble in the tradition of presidential election studies, its reception to date, and possible paths for future social science research.

Identity Crisis - The 2016 Presidential Campaign and the Battle for the Meaning of America (Standard format, CD): John Sides,... Identity Crisis - The 2016 Presidential Campaign and the Battle for the Meaning of America (Standard format, CD)
John Sides, Michael Tesler, Lynn Vavreck; Narrated by Paul Heitsch
R679 R530 Discovery Miles 5 300 Save R149 (22%) Ships in 7 - 11 working days
Campaign Reform - Insights and Evidence (Paperback): Larry M. Bartels, Lynn Vavreck Lewis Campaign Reform - Insights and Evidence (Paperback)
Larry M. Bartels, Lynn Vavreck Lewis
R866 R785 Discovery Miles 7 850 Save R81 (9%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days

What is wrong with American political campaigns? How could the campaign process be improved? This volume brings the expertise of leading political scientists to the public debate about campaign reform. These scholars probe the reality behind the conventional wisdom that nasty, vacuous campaigns dominated by big money and cynical media coverage are perverting our political process and alienating our citizenry.
Some of their conclusions will be startling to campaigners and critics alike. For example, "attack" advertisements prove to be no more effective than self-promotional advertisements, but "are" more substantive. Indeed, candidates in their advertisements and speeches focus more on policy and less on strategy and process than any major news outlet, including the "New York Times." The volume suggests that, as a result, prospective voters in 1996 knew more about the candidates' issue positions than in any presidential election in decades, yet turnout and public faith in the electoral process continued to decline.
For aspiring reformers, Bartels and his colleagues provide a bracing reality check. For students and scholars of electoral politics, political communication, and voting behavior, they provide an authoritative summary and interpretation of what we know about the nature and impact of political campaigns. The insights and evidence contained in this volume should be of interest to anyone concerned about the present state and future prospects of American electoral process.
Larry M. Bartels is Professor of Politics and Public Affairs and Stuart Professor of Communications and Public Affairs in the Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University. Lynn Vavreck is Assistant Professor of Government, Dartmouth College. Other contributors are Bruce Buchanan, Tami Buhr, Ann Crigler, John G. Geer, Kathleen Hall Jamieson, Marion Just, Daron R. Shaw, and John Zaller.

Campaign Reform - Insights and Evidence (Hardcover): Larry M. Bartels, Lynn Vavreck Lewis Campaign Reform - Insights and Evidence (Hardcover)
Larry M. Bartels, Lynn Vavreck Lewis
R2,124 R1,858 Discovery Miles 18 580 Save R266 (13%) Ships in 10 - 15 working days

What is wrong with American political campaigns? How could the campaign process be improved? This volume brings the expertise of leading political scientists to the public debate about campaign reform. These scholars probe the reality behind the conventional wisdom that nasty, vacuous campaigns dominated by big money and cynical media coverage are perverting our political process and alienating our citizenry.
Some of their conclusions will be startling to campaigners and critics alike. For example, "attack" advertisements prove to be no more effective than self-promotional advertisements, but "are" more substantive. Indeed, candidates in their advertisements and speeches focus more on policy and less on strategy and process than any major news outlet, including the "New York Times." The volume suggests that, as a result, prospective voters in 1996 knew more about the candidates' issue positions than in any presidential election in decades, yet turnout and public faith in the electoral process continued to decline.
For aspiring reformers, Bartels and his colleagues provide a bracing reality check. For students and scholars of electoral politics, political communication, and voting behavior, they provide an authoritative summary and interpretation of what we know about the nature and impact of political campaigns. The insights and evidence contained in this volume should be of interest to anyone concerned about the present state and future prospects of American electoral process.
Larry M. Bartels is Professor of Politics and Public Affairs and Stuart Professor of Communications and Public Affairs in the Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton University. Lynn Vavreck is Assistant Professor of Government, Dartmouth College. Other contributors are Bruce Buchanan, Tami Buhr, Ann Crigler, John G. Geer, Kathleen Hall Jamieson, Marion Just, Daron R. Shaw, and John Zaller.

The Logic of American Politics (Paperback, 9th ed.): Samuel H. Kernell, Gary C. Jacobson, Thad Kousser, Lynn Vavreck The Logic of American Politics (Paperback, 9th ed.)
Samuel H. Kernell, Gary C. Jacobson, Thad Kousser, Lynn Vavreck
R3,249 Discovery Miles 32 490 Out of stock
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