This book sheds light on financial decision making and lays down the major biases in human behavioral decision making, such as over-confidence, naive extrapolation, attention, and risk aversion, and how they lead investors and corporations to make considerable mistakes in investment. It draws on a large body of literature, from psychology and social psychology to, most importantly, behavioral economics and behavioral finance. It also looks at the progress in behavioral finance research over recent decades and includes research outputs based on retail and institutional investors from the United States, China, and many other international financial markets. The book focuses on China's financial reforms and economic transition and includes many cases from that country to highlight the importance of behavioral finance and investor education. It therefore provides much needed in-depth understanding of the Chinese capital market.

This book sheds light on financial decision making and lays down the major biases in human behavioral decision making, such as over-confidence, naive extrapolation, attention, and risk aversion, and how they lead investors and corporations to make considerable mistakes in investment. It draws on a large body of literature, from psychology and social psychology to, most importantly, behavioral economics and behavioral finance. It also looks at the progress in behavioral finance research over recent decades and includes research outputs based on retail and institutional investors from the United States, China, and many other international financial markets. The book focuses on China's financial reforms and economic transition and includes many cases from that country to highlight the importance of behavioral finance and investor education. It therefore provides much needed in-depth understanding of the Chinese capital market.

The truth about China's financial industry-and the growing bubble that's guaranteed to blow it apart... In recent years, the Chinese economy has been fueled by the implicit guarantee of major banks and local governments by the nation's central government. The resultant bubble has led to the emergence of a large shadow banking industry that poses major risks to China's real estate market, speculative stock investments, state-owned enterprises, and more. It's not a matter of if China's bubble will burst. It's a matter of when. This eye-opening book from renowned financial scholar Ning Zhu provides a provocative in-depth analysis of China's current economic practices-and the profound dangers they pose-as well as a powerful wake-up call to investors, regulators, and the entire financial industry. Zhu's book is packed with startling revelations, including: * The enormous impact of China's implicit guarantees on economic growth-and what will happen when those guarantees are gone * The ever-increasing size of China's shadow banking industry-and how it's just the tip of the iceberg * The once-reliable strength of China's real estate and stock markets-and how they're threatened by government distortion * The latest financial innovations and channels-and how they are circumventing regulations and triggering unprecedented risks Filled with fascinating case studies, worst case scenarios, and a well-argued case for much-needed reforms, Zhu's enlightening book is a must-read for anyone with interests or investments in China's rapidly changing economy. You'll find intriguing new perspectives on traditional growth models, innovative solutions for overcapacity problems, and revealing new stats on so-called Voodoo Statistics. You'll get a glimpse behind the curtain of the "unknown unknowns" of China's implicit guarantees-and learn just how risky these government policies can be. Most importantly, Zhu's book provides solid recommendations for diffusing the time bomb these guarantees can and will set off. Brilliant, incisive, and ultimately optimistic, China's Guaranteed Bubble will incite a much-needed call for change and set us on a new path of prosperity and growth-for China, the economy, and the world.