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Troubling Tehran - Reflections on Geopolitics (Hardcover)
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Troubling Tehran - Reflections on Geopolitics (Hardcover)
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What is the best approach for resolving differences over the
Iranian nuclear programme and preventing a conflict? How would a
conflict possibly unravel given Iranian military, asymmetric and
missile capabilities? What does a military conflict over Iran mean
for international order and India in particular? These are some of
the questions that the book, Troubling Tehran: Reflections on
Geopolitics analyses and seeks answers to. The Iranian nuclear
programme is a complex subject plagued by fundamental differences
on how best to resolve it. While some advocate diplomacy and
economic sanctions as a way forward, others push for a military
response arguing that pursuing diplomacy provides Iran additional
time to achieve a break-out capability. However, military coercion
may not yield desired results, given the dispersed nature of
Iranian nuclear facilities. A strike in fact is likely to
accelerate Iranian nuclear weaponisation programme. The recent
sanctioning of Iran's oil sector adds to the regime's cup of woes
which is already overflowing due to a host of economic problems.
However, the jury is still out on the question of whether sanctions
would spark public disaffection against the regime. The
implications of a military conflict involving Iran are serious for
Asia, Particularly India. About 85 percent of Iranian oil exports
are eastward bound. Dependence on crude and natural gas imports
from the Middle East and North Africa region including Iran poses a
dilemma for Indian Policy makers. New Delhi thus needs to strike a
fine balance while basing its policy on realpolitik and national
interest.
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