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Market Madness - A Century of Oil Panics, Crises, and Crashes (Hardcover)
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Market Madness - A Century of Oil Panics, Crises, and Crashes (Hardcover)
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In Market Madness, Dr. Blake Clayton, a Wall Street stock analyst
and former Oxford researcher, draws on a century's worth of
statistical data to offer a revolutionary new look the history of
oil and future of energy.
The culmination of a multi-year study, he shows how generational
fears about an imminent, irreversible shortage of oil punctuate the
history of oil since its earliest days. He explores the conditions
in which oil supply fears arise, gain popularity, and eventually
wane, and shows how important such stories can be in affecting
financial markets. He links these episodes to the behavioral
concept of irrational exuberance and new era economic thinking,
first popularized by Nobel Laureate Yale economist Robert Shiller,
to show how unfounded pessimism affects the market for oil and
other exhaustible resources. Acknowledging the significant
geological and structural changes the oil market has undergone over
the last century, the book does not dismiss today's shortage fears
out of hand, but asks what they reveal about how commodity markets
function and what that means for investors and public officials.
Clayton argues that the lessons to be learned from this history are
the need for quality data about US and global oil reserves, the
importance of clear communication from public officials about
energy markets and resources, and the value of transparency in
commodities markets. While these measures will not eliminate
volatility and unpredictability in energy markets, he writes, they
would mitigate unnecessary price spikes and improve investor and
government decision-making.
The book addresses popular debates in economics and finance on how
mass beliefs affect financial markets while also offering a
colorful narrative history for general readers about the dramatic
booms and busts of the American oil industry.
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