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State-Space Models with Regime Switching - Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications (Paperback)
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State-Space Models with Regime Switching - Classical and Gibbs-Sampling Approaches with Applications (Paperback)
Series: State-Space Models with Regime Switching
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Both state-space models and Markov switching models have been
highly productive paths for empirical research in macroeconomics
and finance. This book presents recent advances in econometric
methods that make feasible the estimation of models that have both
features. One approach, in the classical framework, approximates
the likelihood function; the other, in the Bayesian framework, uses
Gibbs-sampling to simulate posterior distributions from data. The
authors present numerous applications of these approaches in
detail: decomposition of time series into trend and cycle, a new
index of coincident economic indicators, approaches to modeling
monetary policy uncertainty, Friedman's "plucking" model of
recessions, the detection of turning points in the business cycle
and the question of whether booms and recessions are
duration-dependent, state-space models with heteroskedastic
disturbances, fads and crashes in financial markets, long-run real
exchange rates, and mean reversion in asset returns.
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