After holding power continuously from its inception in 1955
(with the exception of a ten-month hiatus in 1993 1994), Japan's
Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) lost control of the national
government decisively in September 2009. Despite its defeat, the
LDP remains the most successful political party in a democracy in
the post World War II period. In The Rise and Fall of Japan's LDP,
Ellis S. Krauss and Robert J. Pekkanen shed light on the puzzle of
the LDP's long dominance and abrupt defeat. Several questions about
institutional change in party politics are at the core of their
investigation: What incentives do different electoral systems
provide? How do politicians adapt to new incentives? How much does
structure determine behavior, and how much opportunity does
structure give politicians to influence outcomes? How adaptable are
established political organizations?
The electoral system Japan established in 1955 resulted in a
half-century of "one-party democracy." But as Krauss and Pekkanen
detail, sweeping political reforms in 1994 changed voting rules and
other key elements of the electoral system. Both the LDP and its
adversaries had to adapt to a new system that gave citizens two
votes: one for a party and one for a candidate. Under the
leadership of the charismatic Koizumi Junichiro, the LDP managed to
maintain its majority in the Japanese Diet, but his successors lost
popular support as opposing parties learned how to operate in the
new electoral environment. Drawing on the insights of historical
institutionalism, Krauss and Pekkanen explain how Japanese politics
functioned before and after the 1994 reform and why the persistence
of party institutions (factions, PARC, koenkai) and the transformed
role of party leadership contributed both to the LDP's success at
remaining in power for fifteen years after the reforms and to its
eventual downfall. In an epilogue, the authors assess the LDP's
prospects in the near and medium term."
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