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Climate Change - Science and Policy Implications (Paperback)
Loot Price: R455
Discovery Miles 4 550
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Climate Change - Science and Policy Implications (Paperback)
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Loot Price R455
Discovery Miles 4 550
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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Almost all scientists agree that the Earth's climate is changing,
having warmed by 0.6 to 0.8o Celsius (1.1 to 1.5o Fahrenheit) since
the Industrial Revolution. Science indicates that the Earth's
global average temperature is now approaching, or possibly has
passed, the warmest experienced since human civilizations began to
flourish about 12,000 years ago. During the 20th Century, some
areas became wetter while others experienced more drought. Most
climate scientists conclude that humans have induced a large part
of the climate change since the 1970s. Although natural forces such
as solar irradiance and volcanoes contribute to variability,
scientists cannot explain the climate changes of the past few
decades without including the effects of elevated greenhouse gas
(GHG) concentrations resulting from fossil fuel use, land clearing,
and industrial and agricultural emissions. Over the past 150 years,
measured carbon dioxide concentrations have risen by more than
one-third, from about 280 parts per million (ppm) to about 380 ppm.
The United States contributes almost one-fifth of net global
greenhouse gas emissions. Some impacts of climate change are
expected to be beneficial (e.g., increased agricultural
productivity in some regions), whereas others are expected to be
adverse (e.g., drought in some regions, rising sea levels in some
coastal areas). Forecasting future climate conditions is
challenging, and some major processes remain poorly understood.
However, methods are improving to characterize the risks.
Scientists have found it is very likely that rising greenhouse gas
concentrations, if they continue unabated, will raise the global
average temperature above natural variability by at least 1.5o
Celsius (2.7o Fahrenheit) during the 21st Century (above 1990
temperatures), with a small likelihood that the temperature rise
may exceed 5oC (9oF). The projections thought most likely by many
climate modelers are for a greenhouse gas-induced temperature rise
of approximately 2.5 to 3.5oC (4.5 to 6.3oF) by 2100.
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