On 11 September 2001, the Al Qaeda-sponsored attacks in New York
and Washington DC marked a turning point in global security. The
worldwide impact demonstrated not only that no country is an
island, but also raised questions about the way the intelligence
community gather its data, analyzed it, and disseminated it up to
the policymakers. Some of these questions concerned the very
tradecraft of intelligence - the process of analysis itself. This
book deconstructs the profession of intelligence analysis in the
contemporary, globalized world, and asks: is it an art, a science,
or both?
The availability of data and information to support intelligence
analysis is now much greater than ever before, and used properly,
this material can assist hugely in the fight against terrorism.
This book takes a practical look at intelligence analysis and
offers a synthesis of the key issues affecting this area and the
context within which it is taught and understood. The main
cognitive processes affecting analysis and interpretation, such as
memory, hindsight, perception, bias, hypothesizing and evaluating
data, are explained in the context of the intelligence machinery
and environment, and the book explores ways in which pitfalls can
be mitigated. There is also discussion about the external pressures
and influences on intelligence analysis, such as politics, ethics
and civil liberties, cultural factors, and the changing nature of
security threats and their impact on the intelligence process.
In its analysis, the book provides an objective view of
intelligence success as well as failure, and will be of interest to
police and security intelligence trainers and analysts, police
counter-intelligence units, and those involved in the study of
policing, intelligence and counter-terrorism.
General
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