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Polls and Surveys -Understanding What They Tell Us (Hardcover, 1st ed)
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Polls and Surveys -Understanding What They Tell Us (Hardcover, 1st ed)
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Two experts on designing questionnaires and surveys attempt to
bring the average reader to an understanding of the ins and outs of
polling. Bradburn is provost of the Univ. of Chicago, while Sudman
is a professor at the Survey Research Laboratory at the Univ. of
Illinois. The authors offer valuable advice on how to separate the
wheat from the chaff in poll results. They take the reader back to
the early history of polling (which, despite some evidence of
19th-century polling, really began in 1935, thanks to George
Gallup), then discuss the uses and abuses of polls, determining
that the main justification for polling is to buttress decisions
and policies. Unfortunately, they find that polls have too often
been used for propaganda purposes, and by news organizations to
determine who is leading in elections - which often tends to skew
results among voters who are influenced by polls. The authors don't
suggest that polls be banned: "Banning the polls would simply
return us to the time when the same predictions were made, but with
much less accuracy." Rather, they suggest that election methods be
revised to avoid, say, the problem of East Coast polls affecting
West Coast voters on election nights. In general, the authors paint
a rosy picture of polling and look to a healthy future enhanced by
new electronic techniques. Their conclusion is made somewhat
suspect, however, by their supporting statement that, as a result
of polls, "special interests have a less significant role than they
did fifty years ago. . ." Many would argue that point, while
recognizing the overall value of this volume as a guide to lay
readers. (Kirkus Reviews)
1. Polling the Public: Purpose and Process 2. Growth of Public Opinion Polling 3. Proper and Improper Uses of Surveys 4. The Organizations That Do the Polling 5. How Information Is Collected 6. How Respondents are Selected 7. Asking the Question: How Wording Affects Response 8. What Do the Answers Mean? 9. Understanding Sources of Error 10. Should Polls Be Banned? 11. Effects of Polls on Elections, Governments, Business, and Media GlossaryReferencesIndex
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