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Towards an Integrated Impact Assessment of Climate Change: The MINK Study (Hardcover, Reprinted from CLIMATIC CHANGE 24:1-2, 1993)
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Towards an Integrated Impact Assessment of Climate Change: The MINK Study (Hardcover, Reprinted from CLIMATIC CHANGE 24:1-2, 1993)
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General circulation models state that the central United States
(and other mid-latitude continental regions) will become warmer and
drier as the result of greenhouse warming. On this premise the
dustbowl period of the 1930s was selected as an analogue of climate
change and its weather records imposed on the
Missouri--Iowa--Kansas region to assess how current agriculture,
forestry, water resources and energy and the entire regional
economy would be affected. The same climate was also imposed on a
MINK region forty years into the future, by which time climate
change may actually be felt, to assess whether technological and
societal change would alter the region's vulnerability to climate
change. Another premise of the study was that people would not
suffer the impacts of climate change passively, but would use
availabe tools to ease the stress. The rising atmospheric
concentration of carbon dioxide, expected to be the major cause of
greenhouse warming, also works to improve plant growth and reduce
plant water use. So the effects of this Co2 fertilization' were
also considered in the analysis. The results, some of them
surprising, of this first, fully-integrated analysis of climate
change impacts and responses are reported in this book.
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