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Politics, Paradigms, and Intelligence Failures - Why So Few Predicted the Collapse of the Soviet Union (Paperback, New)
Loot Price: R1,386
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Politics, Paradigms, and Intelligence Failures - Why So Few Predicted the Collapse of the Soviet Union (Paperback, New)
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Washington's failure to foresee the collapse of its superpower
rival ranks high in the pantheon of predictive failures. The
question of who got what right or wrong has been intertwined with
the deeper issue of "who won" the Cold War. Like the disputes over
"who lost" China and Iran, this debate has been fought out along
ideological and partisan lines, with conservatives claiming credit
for the Evil Empire's demise and liberals arguing that the causes
were internal to the Soviet Union. The intelligence community has
come in for harsh criticism for overestimating Soviet strength and
overlooking the symptoms of crisis; the discipline of "Sovietology"
has dissolved into acrimonious irrelevance. Drawing on declassified
documents, interviews, and careful analysis of contemporaneous
literature, this book offers the first systematic analysis of this
predictive failure at the paradigmatic, foreign policy, and
intelligence levels. Although it is focused on the Soviet case, it
offers lessons that are both timely and necessary.
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