The human element is the principle cause of incidents and accidents
in all technology industries; hence it is evident that an
understanding of the interaction between humans and technology is
crucial to the effective management of risk. Despite this, no
tested model that explicitly and quantitatively includes the human
element in risk prediction is currently available.
"Managing Risk: the Human Element" combines descriptive and
explanatory text with theoretical and mathematical analysis,
offering important new concepts that can be used to improve the
management of risk, trend analysis and prediction, and hence affect
the accident rate in technological industries. It uses examples of
major accidents to identify common causal factors, or "echoes," and
argues that the use of specific experience parameters for each
particular industry is vital to achieving a minimum error rate as
defined by mathematical prediction. New ideas for the perception,
calculation and prediction of risk are introduced, and safety
management is covered in depth, including for rare events and
"unknown" outcomes
Discusses applications to multiple industries including nuclear,
aviation, medical, shipping, chemical, industrial, railway,
offshore oil and gas; Shows consistency between learning for large
systems and technologies with the psychological models of learning
from error correction at the personal level; Offers the expertise
of key leading industry figures involved in safety work in the
civil aviation and nuclear engineering industries; Incorporates
numerous fascinating case studies of key technological
accidents.
"Managing Risk: the Human Element" is an essential read for
professional safetyexperts, human reliability experts and engineers
in all technological industries, as well as risk analysts,
corporate managers and statistical analysts. It is also of interest
to professors, researchers and postgraduate students of reliability
and safety engineering, and to experts in human performance.
,".".congratulations on what appears to be, at a high level of
review, a significant contribution to the literature...I have found
much to be admired in (your) research""
Mr. Joseph Fragola - Vice President of Valador Inc.
""The book is not only technically informative, but also
attractive to all concerned readers and easy to be comprehended at
various level of educational background. It is truly an excellent
book ever written for the safety risk managers and analysis
professionals in the engineering community, especially in the high
reliability organizations...""
Dr Feng Hsu, Head of Risk Assessment and Management, NASA
Goddard Space Flight Center
""I admire your courage in confronting your theoretical ideas
with such diverse, ecologically valid data, and your success in
capturing a major trend in them....I should add that I find all
this quite inspiring . ...The idea that you need to find the right
measure of accumulated experience and not just routinely used
calendar time makes so much sense that it comes as a shock to
realize that this is a new idea,""
Professor Stellan Ohlsson, Professor of Psychology, University
of Illinois at Chicago
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