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Peaking of World Oil Production - Impacts, Mitigation & Risk Management (Paperback)
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Peaking of World Oil Production - Impacts, Mitigation & Risk Management (Paperback)
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The peaking of world oil production presents the U.S. and the world
with an unprecedented risk management problem. As peaking is
approached, liquid fuel prices and price volatility will increase
dramatically, and without timely mitigation, the economic, social,
and political costs will be unprecedented. Viable mitigation
options exist on both the supply and demand sides, but to have
substantial impact, they must be initiated more than a decade in
advance of peaking. Dealing with world oil production peaking will
be extremely complex, involve literally trillions of dollars and
require many years of intense effort. To explore these
complexities, three alternative mitigation scenarios are analysed:
scenario I assumes that action is not initiated until peaking
occurs; scenario II assumes that action is initiated 10 years
before peaking; scenario III assumes action is initiated 20 years
before peaking. For this analysis estimates of the possible
contributions of each mitigation option were developed, based on an
assumed crash program rate of implementation.
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