How can countries decide what kind of military forces they need,
if threats are uncertain and history is full of strategic
surprises? This is a question that is more pertinent than ever, as
countries across the Asia-Pacific are faced with the military and
economic rise of China. Uncertainty is inherent in defence
planning, but different types of uncertainty mean that countries
need to approach decisions about military force structure in
different ways. This book examines four different basic frameworks
for defence planning, and demonstrates how states can make
decisions coherently about the structure and posture of their
defence forces despite strategic uncertainty. It draws on case
studies from the United States, Australian and New Zealand, each of
which developed key concepts for their particular circumstances and
risk perception in Asia. Success as well as failure in developing
coherent defence planning frameworks holds lessons for the United
States and other countries as they consider how best to structure
their military forces for the uncertain challenges of the
future.
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