Can Northeast Asia become a zone of peace instead of a short fuse
to war? With threatened satellite launches and missile tests, North
Korea figured early among Barack Obama s many challenges. President
George W. Bush had pinned North Korea to an axis of evil but then
neglected Pyongyang until it tested a nuclear device. Would the new
administration make similar mistakes? When the Clinton White House
prepared to bomb North Korea s nuclear facilities, private citizen
Jimmy Carter mediated to avert war and set the stage for a deal
freezing North Korea s plutonium production. The 1994 Agreed
Framework collapsed after eight years, but when Pyongyang went
critical, the negotiations got serious. Using more carrots than
sticks, Washington and its four main partners persuaded Pyongyang
to commit to disabling its nuclear weapon facilities. Each time the
parties advanced one or two steps, however, their advance seemed to
spawn one or two steps backward.The history of U.S.-North Korean
relations provides important lessons for negotiators how not to
deal with dangerous adversaries but also how to create
accommodations useful to each side. Clemens distills lessons from
U.S. negotiations with Russia, China, and Libya and analyzes how
they do and do not apply to six-party and bilateral talks with
North Korea in a new political era."
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