An exploration of military responses to revolutions and how to
predict such reactions in the future We know that a revolution's
success largely depends on the army's response to it. But can we
predict the military's reaction to an uprising? How Armies Respond
to Revolutions and Why argues that it is possible to make a highly
educated guess—and in some cases even a confident
prediction—about the generals' response to a domestic revolt if
we know enough about the army, the state it is supposed to serve,
the society in which it exists, and the external environment that
affects its actions. Through concise case studies of modern
uprisings in Iran, China, Eastern Europe, Burma, and the Arab
world, Zoltan Barany looks at the reasons for and the logic behind
the variety of choices soldiers ultimately make. Barany offers
tools—in the form of questions to be asked and answered—that
enable analysts to provide the most informed assessment possible
regarding an army's likely response to a revolution and,
ultimately, the probable fate of the revolution itself. He examines
such factors as the military's internal cohesion, the regime's
treatment of its armed forces, and the size, composition, and
nature of the demonstrations. How Armies Respond to Revolutions and
Why explains how generals decide to support or suppress domestic
uprisings.
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