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This book focuses on the asymptotic behaviour of the probabilities
of large deviations of the trajectories of random walks with
'heavy-tailed' (in particular, regularly varying, sub- and
semiexponential) jump distributions. Large deviation probabilities
are of great interest in numerous applied areas, typical examples
being ruin probabilities in risk theory, error probabilities in
mathematical statistics, and buffer-overflow probabilities in
queueing theory. The classical large deviation theory, developed
for distributions decaying exponentially fast (or even faster) at
infinity, mostly uses analytical methods. If the fast decay
condition fails, which is the case in many important applied
problems, then direct probabilistic methods usually prove to be
efficient. This monograph presents a unified and systematic
exposition of the large deviation theory for heavy-tailed random
walks. Most of the results presented in the book are appearing in a
monograph for the first time. Many of them were obtained by the
authors.
Compound renewal processes (CRPs) are among the most ubiquitous
models arising in applications of probability. At the same time,
they are a natural generalization of random walks, the most
well-studied classical objects in probability theory. This
monograph, written for researchers and graduate students, presents
the general asymptotic theory and generalizes many well-known
results concerning random walks. The book contains the key limit
theorems for CRPs, functional limit theorems, integro-local limit
theorems, large and moderately large deviation principles for CRPs
in the state space and in the space of trajectories, including
large deviation principles in boundary crossing problems for CRPs,
with an explicit form of the rate functionals, and an extension of
the invariance principle for CRPs to the domain of moderately large
and small deviations. Applications establish the key limit laws for
Markov additive processes, including limit theorems in the domains
of normal and large deviations.
This is a companion book to Asymptotic Analysis of Random Walks:
Heavy-Tailed Distributions by A.A. Borovkov and K.A. Borovkov. Its
self-contained systematic exposition provides a highly useful
resource for academic researchers and professionals interested in
applications of probability in statistics, ruin theory, and queuing
theory. The large deviation principle for random walks was first
established by the author in 1967, under the restrictive condition
that the distribution tails decay faster than exponentially. (A
close assertion was proved by S.R.S. Varadhan in 1966, but only in
a rather special case.) Since then, the principle has always been
treated in the literature only under this condition. Recently, the
author jointly with A.A. Mogul'skii removed this restriction,
finding a natural metric for which the large deviation principle
for random walks holds without any conditions. This new version is
presented in the book, as well as a new approach to studying large
deviations in boundary crossing problems. Many results presented in
the book, obtained by the author himself or jointly with
co-authors, are appearing in a monograph for the first time.
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