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This book presents the culmination of our collaborative research,
going back over 15 years (Rogers & Little, 1994), and for one
of us, even longer (Rogers, 1967, 1973). It addresses a dif?cult,
yet necessary, area of demographic research: what to do in data
situations characterized by irregular, inadequate, or missing data.
A common solution within the demographic community has been what is
generally referred to as "indirect estimation." In our work the
focus has been on the indirect estimation of migration, and our use
of the term "indirect" follows the description given in the 1983
United Nations manual, which de?ned it as "techniques suited for
analysis of incomplete or defective demographic data" (United
Nations, 1983, p. 1). We wrote this book with a goal to make it
accessible to a reader familiar with introductory statistical
modeling, at the level of regression and categorical data an- ysis
using log - linear models. It is primarily intended to serve as a
reference work for demographers, sociologists, geographers,
economists, and regional planners.
This book presents the culmination of our collaborative research,
going back over 15 years (Rogers & Little, 1994), and for one
of us, even longer (Rogers, 1967, 1973). It addresses a dif?cult,
yet necessary, area of demographic research: what to do in data
situations characterized by irregular, inadequate, or missing data.
A common solution within the demographic community has been what is
generally referred to as "indirect estimation." In our work the
focus has been on the indirect estimation of migration, and our use
of the term "indirect" follows the description given in the 1983
United Nations manual, which de?ned it as "techniques suited for
analysis of incomplete or defective demographic data" (United
Nations, 1983, p. 1). We wrote this book with a goal to make it
accessible to a reader familiar with introductory statistical
modeling, at the level of regression and categorical data an- ysis
using log - linear models. It is primarily intended to serve as a
reference work for demographers, sociologists, geographers,
economists, and regional planners.
Written by the 2018 Mindel C. Sheps Award winner, this textbook
offers a unique method for teaching how to model spatial
(multiregional) population dynamics through models of increasing
complexity. Each chapter in this programmed workbook starts with a
descriptive text, followed by a sequence of exercises focused on
particular multiregional models, of increasing complexity, and then
ends with the solutions. It extends the current developments in the
spatial analysis of social data towards improving our understanding
of dynamics and interacting change across multiple populations in
space. Frameworks for analyzing such dynamics were first proposed
in multiregional demography, over 40 years ago. This book revisits
these methods and then illustrates how they may be used to analyze
spatial data and study spatial population dynamics. Topics covered
include spatial population dynamics, population projections and
estimations, spatial and age structure of migration flows and much
more. As such this innovative textbook is a great teaching and
learning tool for teachers, students as well as individuals who
want to study demographic processes across space.
This book shows the effectiveness of multiregional demography for
studying the spatial dynamics of migration and population
redistribution. It examines important questions in demographic
analysis and shows how the techniques of multiregional analysis can
lead to answers that sometimes contradict conventional wisdom. The
book reconsiders conclusions reached in the literature regarding
several fundamental common sense demographic questions in migration
and population redistribution, including: Is it mostly migration or
"aging-in-place" that has been driving Florida's elderly population
growth? Do the elderly return "home" after retirement more than the
non-elderly do? Does longer life lead to longer ill-health? Do
simple population projection models outperform complex ones? For
each demographic question it reconsiders, the book begins with a
simple empirical numerical example and with it illustrates how a
uniregional specification can bias findings to favor a particular,
and possibly incorrect, conclusion. It then goes on to show how a
multiregional analysis can better illuminate the dynamics that
underlie the observed population totals and lead to a more informed
conclusion. Offering insights into the effectiveness of
multiregional demography, this book serves as a valuable resource
for students and researchers searching for a better way to answer
questions in demographic analysis and population dynamics.
Written by the 2018 Mindel C. Sheps Award winner, this textbook
offers a unique method for teaching how to model spatial
(multiregional) population dynamics through models of increasing
complexity. Each chapter in this programmed workbook starts with a
descriptive text, followed by a sequence of exercises focused on
particular multiregional models, of increasing complexity, and then
ends with the solutions. It extends the current developments in the
spatial analysis of social data towards improving our understanding
of dynamics and interacting change across multiple populations in
space. Frameworks for analyzing such dynamics were first proposed
in multiregional demography, over 40 years ago. This book revisits
these methods and then illustrates how they may be used to analyze
spatial data and study spatial population dynamics. Topics covered
include spatial population dynamics, population projections and
estimations, spatial and age structure of migration flows and much
more. As such this innovative textbook is a great teaching and
learning tool for teachers, students as well as individuals who
want to study demographic processes across space.
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