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This book presents the latest results related to one- and two-way
models for time series data. Analysis of variance (ANOVA) is a
classical statistical method for IID data proposed by R.A. Fisher
to investigate factors and interactions of phenomena. In contrast,
the methods developed in this book apply to time series data.
Testing theory of the homogeneity of groups is presented under a
wide variety of situations including uncorrelated and correlated
groups, fixed and random effects, multi- and high-dimension,
parametric and nonparametric spectral densities. These methods have
applications in several scientific fields. A test for the existence
of interactions is also proposed. The book deals with asymptotics
when the number of groups is fixed and sample size diverges. This
framework distinguishes the approach of the book from panel data
and longitudinal analyses, which mostly deal with cases in which
the number of groups is large. The usefulness of the theory in this
book is illustrated by numerical simulation and real data analysis.
This book is suitable for theoretical statisticians and economists
as well as psychologists and data analysts.
This book contains new aspects of model diagnostics in time series
analysis, including variable selection problems and higher-order
asymptotics of tests. This is the first book to cover systematic
approaches and widely applicable results for nonstandard models
including infinite variance processes. The book begins by
introducing a unified view of a portmanteau-type test based on a
likelihood ratio test, useful to test general parametric hypotheses
inherent in statistical models. The conditions for the limit
distribution of portmanteau-type tests to be asymptotically pivotal
are given under general settings, and very clear implications for
the relationships between the parameter of interest and the
nuisance parameter are elucidated in terms of Fisher-information
matrices. A robust testing procedure against heavy-tailed time
series models is also constructed in the context of variable
selection problems. The setting is very reasonable in the context
of financial data analysis and econometrics, and the result is
applicable to causality tests of heavy-tailed time series models.
In the last two sections, Bartlett-type adjustments for a class of
test statistics are discussed when the parameter of interest is on
the boundary of the parameter space. A nonlinear adjustment
procedure is proposed for a broad range of test statistics
including the likelihood ratio, Wald and score statistics.
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