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The Russian Invasion of Ukraine and Implications for the Central
Region addresses national security threats and strategic
opportunities for the United States and its allies in the Middle
East and Central Asia following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.
Recognizing that integrated deterrence is not constrained by
geography or domain, this book focuses on the complex threats and
challenges confronting U.S. national security and foreign policy in
a post-Ukraine invasion environment. That is to say, what happens
in Ukraine does not stay in Ukraine. It affects everyone from the
region to the cyberspace domain to people on the other side of the
world, due to changes in commodity prices. Specifically, this
volume explores how revised analyses of Russia may alter U.S. and
allied strategies in a shifting international system and within the
framing of strategic competition. Experts in this volume examine
how the war in Ukraine will influence Russian strategy and foreign
policy in the Middle East, Central Asia, and globally; what effect
the Ukraine invasion could have on global and regional geopolitics
and geoeconomics; and the United States’ ability to protect
national interests in the Central Region. The reasons for this are
multiple and complex. In this volume, we explore many issues that
have confounded security experts by asking questions such as: What
happens after the Russian invasion? What lessons did the U.S.,
Ukraine, NATO, and the European Union learn about Russia? What
lessons did Russia learn about itself and its military after the
Ukraine invasion? What lessons did the U.S. learn in Afghanistan
that apply to Ukraine? Why was the initial analysis of the Russian
invasion so wrong? How has power shifted in the international
system since the Ukraine invasion? How has the security environment
shifted since the Ukraine invasion? For the U.S. to continue
supporting its partners in the Middle East and Central Asia, it
must anticipate what new opportunities will arise from Russia’s
missteps in Ukraine. The Russian Invasion of Ukraine and
Implications for the Central Region addresses these challenges and
opportunities and informs policymakers on the changing contours of
the Great Power Competition.
With our highly connected and interdependent world, the growing
threat of infectious diseases and public health crisis has shed
light on the requirement for global efforts to manage and combat
highly pathogenic infectious diseases and other public health
crisis on an unprecedented level. Such disease threats transcend
borders. Reducing global threats posed by infectious disease
outbreaks - whether naturally caused or resulting from a deliberate
or accidental release - requires efforts that cross the disaster
management pillars: mitigation, preparedness, response and
recovery. This book addresses the issues of global health security
along 4 themes: Emerging Threats; Mitigation, Preparedness,
Response and Recovery; Exploring the Technology Landscape for
Solutions; Leadership and Partnership. The authors of this volume
highlight many of the challenges that confront our global security
environment today. These range from politically induced disasters,
to food insecurity, to zoonosis and terrorism. More optimistically,
the authors also present some advances in technology that can help
us combat these threats. Understanding the challenges that confront
us and the tools we have to overcome them will allow us to face our
future with confidence.
Networks and Network Analysis for Defence and Security discusses
relevant theoretical frameworks and applications of network
analysis in support of the defence and security domains. This book
details real world applications of network analysis to support
defence and security. Shocks to regional, national and global
systems stemming from natural hazards, acts of armed violence,
terrorism and serious and organized crime have significant defence
and security implications. Today, nations face an uncertain and
complex security landscape in which threats impact/target the
physical, social, economic and cyber domains. Threats to national
security, such as that against critical infrastructures not only
stem from man-made acts but also from natural hazards. Katrina
(2005), Fukushima (2011) and Hurricane Sandy (2012) are examples
highlighting the vulnerability of critical infrastructures to
natural hazards and the crippling effect they have on the social
and economic well-being of a community and a nation. With this
dynamic and complex threat landscape, network analysis has emerged
as a key enabler in supporting defence and security. With the
advent of big data and increasing processing power, network
analysis can reveal insights with regards to structural and dynamic
properties thereby facilitating greater understanding of complex
networks, their entities, interdependencies, vulnerabilities to
produce insights for creative solutions. This book will be well
positioned to inform defence, security and intelligence
professionals and researchers with regards to leading methodologies
and approaches."
This book shares essential insights into how the social sciences
and technology could foster new advances in managing the complexity
inherent to the criminal and digital policing landscape. Said
landscape is both dynamic and intricate, emanating as it does from
crimes that are both persistent and transnational. Globalization,
human and drug trafficking, cybercrime, terrorism, and other forms
of transnational crime can have significant impacts on societies
around the world. This necessitates a reassessment of what crime,
national security and policing mean. Recent global events such as
human and drug trafficking, the COVID-19 pandemic, violent
protests, cyber threats and terrorist activities underscore the
vulnerabilities of our current security and digital policing
posture. This book presents concepts, theories and digital policing
applications, offering a comprehensive analysis of current and
emerging trends in digital policing. Pursuing an evidence-based
approach, it offers an extraordinarily perceptive and detailed view
of issues and solutions regarding the crime and digital policing
landscape. To this end, it highlights current technological and
methodological solutions as well as advances concerning integrated
computational and analytical solutions deployed in digital
policing. It also provides a comprehensive analysis of the
technical, ethical, legal, privacy and civil liberty challenges
stemming from the aforementioned advances in the field of digital
policing; and accordingly, offers detailed recommendations
supporting the design and implementation of best practices
including technical, ethical and legal approaches when conducting
digital policing. The research gathered here fits well into the
larger body of work on various aspects of AI, cybersecurity,
national security, digital forensics, cyberterrorism, ethics, human
rights, cybercrime and law. It provides a valuable reference for
law enforcement, policymakers, cybersecurity experts, digital
forensic practitioners, researchers, graduates and advanced
undergraduates, and other stakeholders with an interest in
counter-terrorism. In addition to this target audience, it offers a
valuable tool for lawyers, criminologist and technology
enthusiasts.
This book presents sensemaking strategies to support security
planning and design. Threats to security are becoming complex and
multifaceted and increasingly challenging traditional notions of
security. The security landscape is characterized as 'messes' and
'wicked problems' that proliferate in this age of complexity.
Designing security solutions in the face of interconnectedness,
volatility and uncertainty, we run the risk of providing the right
answer to the wrong problem thereby resulting in unintended
consequences. Sensemaking is the activity that enables us to turn
the ongoing complexity of the world into a "situation that is
comprehended explicitly in words and that serves as a springboard
into action" (Weick, Sutcliffe, Obstfeld, 2005). It is about
creating an emerging picture of our world through data collection,
analysis, action, and reflection. The importance of sensemaking to
security is that it enables us to plan, design and act when the
world as we knew it seems to have shifted. Leveraging the relevant
theoretical grounding and thought leadership in sensemaking, key
examples are provided, thereby illustrating how sensemaking
strategies can support security planning and design. This is a
critical analytical and leadership requirement in this age of
volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity that
characterizes the security landscape. This book is useful for
academics, graduate students in global security, and government and
security planning practitioners.
Over the past decade, the international political system has come
to be characterized as a Great Power Competition in which multiple
would-be hegemons compete for power and influence. Instead of a
global climate of unchallenged United States dominance, revisionist
powers, notably China and Russia alongside other regional powers,
are vying for dominance through political, military, and economic
means. A critical battleground in the Great Power Competition is
the Middle East, the Horn of Africa, and the Central Asia South
Asia (CASA), also known as the Central Region. With the planned
withdrawal of U.S. military forces from Afghanistan, the U.S. has
stated its intention of shifting attention away from the CASA
Region in favor of a more isolationist foreign policy approach.
This book provides an in-depth understanding of the implications
for this shift related to regional diplomacy & politics,
economic opportunities & rivalries, security considerations
& interests, and the information environment. Amplifying the
vital importance of success in the Central Region to U.S.
prosperity and security, this volume advances dialogue in
identifying key issues for stakeholders within and beyond the
Central Region to gain a holistic perspective that better informs
decision-making at various levels. This collection of work comes
from scholars, strategic thinkers, and subject matter experts who
participated in the Great Power Competition Conference hosted by
the University of South Florida, in partnership with the National
Defense University Near East South Asia Center for Strategic
Strategies in January 2020.
Global security threats have created a complex risk landscape that
is challenging and transforming society. These global security
issues intersect and influence the political, economic, social,
technological, ecological and legal dimensions of the complex risk
landscape and are now transborder thereby becoming national
security issues. Accessing the innovation space to support safety,
security and defence capabilities is critical in order to mitigate
new and evolving threats. Through real-world examples of
innovation, this book provides a detailed examination of the
innovation space as it pertains to the application of S&T to
safety and security threats and challenges. This book is of most
interest to public and private sector innovators as well as
academician and graduate students working in the safety and
security domain.
This book provides international perspective for those studying or
working in the security domain, from enforcement to policy. It
focuses on non-traditional threats in a landscape that has been
described as transnational in nature and incorporates natural
disasters, gang violence, extremism and terrorism, amongst other
issues. Chapters provide innovative thinking on themes including
cyber security, maritime security, transnational crime, human
security, globalization and economic security. Relevant theoretical
frameworks are presented and readers are expertly guided through
complex threats, from matters pertaining to health security which
pose threats not only to humans but also have significant national
security implications, to issues regarding critical infrastructure
vulnerability and the complexity of understanding terrorist
operations. Authors reveal how emerging uncertainties regarding
global critical infrastructure and supply chain security, food
security, and health security are linked to the notion of human
security. Security professionals, policy makers and academics will
all gain from the insights, strategies and perspectives in this
book. It builds understanding of the deepening and broadening
domain of security studies and provides a valuable reference text
for courses on security studies and international relations.
Networks and Network Analysis for Defence and Security discusses
relevant theoretical frameworks and applications of network
analysis in support of the defence and security domains. This book
details real world applications of network analysis to support
defence and security. Shocks to regional, national and global
systems stemming from natural hazards, acts of armed violence,
terrorism and serious and organized crime have significant defence
and security implications. Today, nations face an uncertain and
complex security landscape in which threats impact/target the
physical, social, economic and cyber domains. Threats to national
security, such as that against critical infrastructures not only
stem from man-made acts but also from natural hazards. Katrina
(2005), Fukushima (2011) and Hurricane Sandy (2012) are examples
highlighting the vulnerability of critical infrastructures to
natural hazards and the crippling effect they have on the social
and economic well-being of a community and a nation. With this
dynamic and complex threat landscape, network analysis has emerged
as a key enabler in supporting defence and security. With the
advent of ‘big data’ and increasing processing power, network
analysis can reveal insights with regards to structural and dynamic
properties thereby facilitating greater understanding of complex
networks, their entities, interdependencies, vulnerabilities to
produce insights for creative solutions. This book will be well
positioned to inform defence, security and intelligence
professionals and researchers with regards to leading methodologies
and approaches.
Over the past decade, the international political system has come
to be characterized as a Great Power Competition in which multiple
would-be hegemons compete for power and influence. Instead of a
global climate of unchallenged United States dominance, revisionist
powers, notably China and Russia alongside other regional powers,
are vying for dominance through political, military, and economic
means. A critical battleground in the Great Power Competition is
the Middle East, the Horn of Africa, and the Central Asia South
Asia (CASA), also known as the Central Region. With the planned
withdrawal of U.S. military forces from Afghanistan, the U.S. has
stated its intention of shifting attention away from the CASA
Region in favor of a more isolationist foreign policy approach.
This book provides an in-depth understanding of the implications
for this shift related to regional diplomacy & politics,
economic opportunities & rivalries, security considerations
& interests, and the information environment. Amplifying the
vital importance of success in the Central Region to U.S.
prosperity and security, this volume advances dialogue in
identifying key issues for stakeholders within and beyond the
Central Region to gain a holistic perspective that better informs
decision-making at various levels. This collection of work comes
from scholars, strategic thinkers, and subject matter experts who
participated in the Great Power Competition Conference hosted by
the University of South Florida, in partnership with the National
Defense University Near East South Asia Center for Strategic
Strategies in January 2020.
This book presents sensemaking strategies to support security
planning and design. Threats to security are becoming complex and
multifaceted and increasingly challenging traditional notions of
security. The security landscape is characterized as 'messes' and
'wicked problems' that proliferate in this age of complexity.
Designing security solutions in the face of interconnectedness,
volatility and uncertainty, we run the risk of providing the right
answer to the wrong problem thereby resulting in unintended
consequences. Sensemaking is the activity that enables us to turn
the ongoing complexity of the world into a "situation that is
comprehended explicitly in words and that serves as a springboard
into action" (Weick, Sutcliffe, Obstfeld, 2005). It is about
creating an emerging picture of our world through data collection,
analysis, action, and reflection. The importance of sensemaking to
security is that it enables us to plan, design and act when the
world as we knew it seems to have shifted. Leveraging the relevant
theoretical grounding and thought leadership in sensemaking, key
examples are provided, thereby illustrating how sensemaking
strategies can support security planning and design. This is a
critical analytical and leadership requirement in this age of
volatility, uncertainty, complexity and ambiguity that
characterizes the security landscape. This book is useful for
academics, graduate students in global security, and government and
security planning practitioners.
With our highly connected and interdependent world, the growing
threat of infectious diseases and public health crisis has shed
light on the requirement for global efforts to manage and combat
highly pathogenic infectious diseases and other public health
crisis on an unprecedented level. Such disease threats transcend
borders. Reducing global threats posed by infectious disease
outbreaks - whether naturally caused or resulting from a deliberate
or accidental release - requires efforts that cross the disaster
management pillars: mitigation, preparedness, response and
recovery. This book addresses the issues of global health security
along 4 themes: Emerging Threats; Mitigation, Preparedness,
Response and Recovery; Exploring the Technology Landscape for
Solutions; Leadership and Partnership. The authors of this volume
highlight many of the challenges that confront our global security
environment today. These range from politically induced disasters,
to food insecurity, to zoonosis and terrorism. More optimistically,
the authors also present some advances in technology that can help
us combat these threats. Understanding the challenges that confront
us and the tools we have to overcome them will allow us to face our
future with confidence.
This edited book captures salient global security challenges and
presents 'design' solutions in dealing with wicked problems.
Through case studies and applied research this book reveals the
many perspectives, tools and approaches to support security design.
Security design thereby can support risk and threat analysis, risk
communication, problem framing and development of interventions
strategies. From the refugee crisis to economic slowdowns in
emerging markets, from ever-rising numbers of terrorist and
cyberattacks to global water shortages, to the proliferation of the
Internet of Things and its impact on the security of our homes,
cities and critical infrastructure, the current security landscape
is diverse and complex. These global risks have been in the
headlines in the last year (Global Risks Report) and pose
significant security challenges both nationally and globally. In
fact, national security is no longer just national. Non-state
actors, cyber NGO, rising powers, and hybrid wars and crimes in
strategic areas pose complex challenges to global security. In the
words of Horst Rittel (1968):"Design is an activity, which aims at
the production of a plan, which plan -if implemented- is intended
to bring about a situation with specific desired characteristics
without creating unforeseen and undesired side and after effects."
This book provides international perspective for those studying or
working in the security domain, from enforcement to policy. It
focuses on non-traditional threats in a landscape that has been
described as transnational in nature and incorporates natural
disasters, gang violence, extremism and terrorism, amongst other
issues. Chapters provide innovative thinking on themes including
cyber security, maritime security, transnational crime, human
security, globalization and economic security. Relevant theoretical
frameworks are presented and readers are expertly guided through
complex threats, from matters pertaining to health security which
pose threats not only to humans but also have significant national
security implications, to issues regarding critical infrastructure
vulnerability and the complexity of understanding terrorist
operations. Authors reveal how emerging uncertainties regarding
global critical infrastructure and supply chain security, food
security, and health security are linked to the notion of human
security. Security professionals, policy makers and academics will
all gain from the insights, strategies and perspectives in this
book. It builds understanding of the deepening and broadening
domain of security studies and provides a valuable reference text
for courses on security studies and international relations.
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