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Traditionally Belarus has always had a special status in Russia’s
foreign policy. Russia’s approach towards a key political and
military ally and a “Slavic brother” was always an indicator of
how Russia would see the optimal relationships with other countries
of the post-Soviet space. At this moment Belarus-Russia relations
are evolving in unexpected ways. The two interconnected crises –
the Belarusian mass protests of 2020 and Russia’s invasion of
Ukraine – have had a profound impact on the Belarusian regime and
society, the regional security and Russian policy towards Belarus.
This book explores the ongoing development of Belarus-Russia
relations and discusses the future of the relationship. This edited
volume reviews the state of the relationship and underlines key
emergent trends of Belarus’s and Russia’s policies towards each
other to identify new mechanisms and practices as they shape into a
new model. The book is comprised of in-depth empirical
contributions in a range of interdisciplinary perspectives on
cooperation in political, economic, security, media, and societal
domains within a broader regional context.
This monograph contains two individual reports: Belarus and Russia:
Comradeship-in-Arms in Preempting Democracy by Dr. Vitali Silitski
and Ukraine: Domestic Changes and Foreign Policy Reconfiguration by
Dr. Arkady Moshes. Belarus remains the last true dictatorship in
Europe, and as such, its internal and external security agenda is
an abiding matter of concern to the European and Western
communities. But its trajectory is of equal concern to Moscow,
which has been the prime external supporter and subsidizer of the
Belarussian government under President Alyaksandr' Lukashenka. But
despite this support, tensions between Moscow and Minsk are
growing. The brief energy cutoffs imposed by Moscow at the start of
the year and Belarus' retaliation shows that not all is well in
that relationship. Not surprisingly, Lukashenka has now turned back
to the West for foreign support, but it will not be forthcoming
without significant domestic reform which is quite unlikely.
Ukraine presents a different series of puzzles and challenges to
Western leaders and audiences. It too has suffered from Russian
energy coercion, but its political system is utterly different from
Belarus and in a state of profound turmoil. Therefore, precise
analysis of what has occurred and what is currently happening in
Ukraine is essential to a correct understanding of trends there
that can then inform sound policymaking.
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