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This book reconsiders the power of the idea of the future. Bringing
together perspectives from cultural history, environmental history,
political history and the history of science, it investigates how
the future became a specific field of action in liberal democratic,
state socialist and post-colonial regimes after the Second World
War. It highlights the emergence of new forms of predictive
scientific expertise in this period, and shows how such forms of
expertise interacted with political systems of the Cold War world
order, as the future became the prism for dealing with
post-industrialisation, technoscientific progress, changing social
values, Cold War tensions and an emerging Third World. A forgotten
problem of cultural history, the future re-emerges in this volume
as a fundamentally contested field in which forms of control and
central forms of resistance met, as different actors set out to
colonise and control and others to liberate. The individual studies
of this book show how the West European, African, Romanian and
Czechoslovak "long term" was constructed through forms of
expertise, computer simulations and models, and they reveal how
such constructions both opened up new realities but also imposed
limits on possible futures.
This book reconsiders the power of the idea of the future. Bringing
together perspectives from cultural history, environmental history,
political history and the history of science, it investigates how
the future became a specific field of action in liberal democratic,
state socialist and post-colonial regimes after the Second World
War. It highlights the emergence of new forms of predictive
scientific expertise in this period, and shows how such forms of
expertise interacted with political systems of the Cold War world
order, as the future became the prism for dealing with
post-industrialisation, technoscientific progress, changing social
values, Cold War tensions and an emerging Third World. A forgotten
problem of cultural history, the future re-emerges in this volume
as a fundamentally contested field in which forms of control and
central forms of resistance met, as different actors set out to
colonise and control and others to liberate. The individual studies
of this book show how the West European, African, Romanian and
Czechoslovak "long term" was constructed through forms of
expertise, computer simulations and models, and they reveal how
such constructions both opened up new realities but also imposed
limits on possible futures.
In The Will to Predict, Egle Rindzeviciute demonstrates how the
logic of scientific expertise cannot be properly understood without
knowing the conceptual and institutional history of scientific
prediction. She notes that predictions of future population,
economic growth, environmental change, and scientific and
technological innovation have shaped much of twentieth and
twenty-first century politics and social life, as well as
government policies. Today, such predictions are more necessary
than ever as the world undergoes dramatic environmental, political,
and technological change. But, she asks, what does it mean to
predict scientifically? What are the limits of scientific
prediction and what are its effects on governance, institutions,
and society? Her intellectual and political history of scientific
prediction takes as its example twentieth century USSR. By
outlining the role of prediction in a range of governmental
contexts, from economic and social planning to military strategy,
she shows that the history of scientific prediction is a
transnational one, part of the history of modern science and
technology as well as governance. Going beyond the Soviet case,
Rindzeviciute argues that scientific predictions are central for
organizing uncertainty through the orchestration of knowledge and
action. Bridging the fields of political sociology, organization
studies, and history, The Will to Predict considers what makes
knowledge scientific and how such knowledge has impacted on late
modern governance.
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