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This study evaluates the 1927 Great Mississippi Flood and its
impact on both the 1928 and 1932 presidential elections. Herbert
Hoover surged forth to win the 1928 presidency, but would suffer
the greatest presidential defeat four years later. When did people
change their minds? And were they influenced solely by the Great
Depression or was there something else? Natural disasters and
environmental crises offer both opportunities and threats for a
presidential candidate. Challenger and incumbent must weave through
a delicate maze of policy conundrums to garner national support.
Today, the novel virus COVID-19 has altered modern society. Policy
and medical experts are scrambling to develop a vaccine.
Undoubtedly, economic, social, and political landscapes are being
redefined, including their impact on presidential elections. Thus,
a seminal question surfaces: How do force majeure events impact a
political campaign? Other studies have yielded general assessments
regarding presidential decision making during unforeseen events,
notably with 9/11 and Hurricane Katrina. This book offers a
vanguard approach by applying a historical lens and seeking to test
the axiom of Farley's Law. This important law suggests that
peoples' minds are made up at least six months before a national
election and no matter how poorly situations develop, party
allegiance is supreme.
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