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This book presents the fundamentals of evolutionary game theory and
applies them to the analysis of epidemics, which is of paramount
importance in the aftermath of the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic. The
primary objective of this monograph is to deliver a powerful tool
to model and analyze the spread of an infectious disease during a
pandemic as well as the human decision dynamics. The book employs a
variant of the "vaccination game," in which a mathematical
epidemiological model dovetails with evolutionary game theory. From
a social physics standpoint, this book introduces an extended
concept of the vaccination game starting from the fundamental
issues and touching on the newest practical applications. The book
first outlines the fundamental basis of evolutionary game theory,
in which a two-player and two-strategy game, the so-called 2 x 2
game, and a multi-player game are concisely introduced, and the
important issue of how social dilemmas are quantified is
highlighted. Subsequently, the book discusses various recent
applications of the extended concept of the vaccination game so as
to quantitatively evaluate provisions other than vaccination,
including practical intermediate protective measures such as
mask-wearing, efficiency of quarantine compared with that of
isolation policies for suppressing epidemics, efficiency of
preemptive versus late vaccination, and optimal subsidy policies
for vaccination.
Recent applications of evolutionary game theory in the merging
fields of the mathematical and social sciences are brilliantly
portrayed in this book, which highlights social physics and shows
how the approach can help to quantitatively model complex
human-environmental-social systems. First, readers are introduced
to the fundamentals of evolutionary game theory. The two-player,
two-strategy game, or the 2 x 2 game, is presented as an archetype
to help understand the difficulty of cooperating for survival
against defection in common social contexts. Subsequently, the book
explains the theoretical background of the multi-player,
two-strategy game, which may be more widely applicable than the 2 x
2 game for social dilemmas. The latest applications of 2 x 2 games
are also discussed to explore how integrated reciprocity mechanisms
can solve social dilemmas. In turn, the book describes two
practical areas in which evolutionary game theory has been applied.
The first concerns traffic flow analysis. In conventional
interpretations, traffic flow can be understood by means of fluid
dynamics, in which the flow of vehicles is evaluated as a continuum
body. Such a simple idea, however, does not work well in reality,
particularly if a driver's decision-making process is considered.
Various dilemmas involve complex structures that depend primarily
on traffic density, a revelation that should help establish a
practical solution for reducing traffic congestion. Second, the
book provides keen insights into how powerful evolutionary game
theory can be in the context of epidemiology. Both approaches,
quasi-analytical and multi-agent simulation, can clarify how an
infectious disease such as seasonal influenza spreads across a
complex social network, which is significantly affected by the
public attitude toward vaccination. A methodology is proposed for
the optimum design of a public vaccination policy incorporating
subsidies to efficiently increase vaccination coverage while
minimizing the social cost.
This book both summarizes the basic theory of evolutionary games
and explains their developing applications, giving special
attention to the 2-player, 2-strategy game. This game, usually
termed a "2x2 game" in the jargon, has been deemed most important
because it makes it possible to posit an archetype framework that
can be extended to various applications for engineering, the social
sciences, and even pure science fields spanning theoretical
biology, physics, economics, politics, and information science. The
2x2 game is in fact one of the hottest issues in the field of
statistical physics. The book first shows how the fundamental
theory of the 2x2 game, based on so-called replicator dynamics,
highlights its potential relation with nonlinear dynamical systems.
This analytical approach implies that there is a gap between
theoretical and reality-based prognoses observed in social systems
of humans as well as in those of animal species. The book explains
that this perceived gap is the result of an underlying reciprocity
mechanism called social viscosity. As a second major point, the
book puts a sharp focus on network reciprocity, one of the five
fundamental mechanisms for adding social viscosity to a system and
one that has been a great concern for study by statistical
physicists in the past decade. The book explains how network
reciprocity works for emerging cooperation, and readers can clearly
understand the existence of substantial mechanics when the term
"network reciprocity" is used. In the latter part of the book,
readers will find several interesting examples in which
evolutionary game theory is applied. One such example is traffic
flow analysis. Traffic flow is one of the subjects that fluid
dynamics can deal with, although flowing objects do not comprise a
pure fluid but, rather, are a set of many particles. Applying the
framework of evolutionary games to realistic traffic flows, the
book reveals that social dilemma structures lie behind traffic
flow.
This book both summarizes the basic theory of evolutionary games
and explains their developing applications, giving special
attention to the 2-player, 2-strategy game. This game, usually
termed a "2x2 game" in the jargon, has been deemed most important
because it makes it possible to posit an archetype framework that
can be extended to various applications for engineering, the social
sciences, and even pure science fields spanning theoretical
biology, physics, economics, politics, and information science. The
2x2 game is in fact one of the hottest issues in the field of
statistical physics. The book first shows how the fundamental
theory of the 2x2 game, based on so-called replicator dynamics,
highlights its potential relation with nonlinear dynamical systems.
This analytical approach implies that there is a gap between
theoretical and reality-based prognoses observed in social systems
of humans as well as in those of animal species. The book explains
that this perceived gap is the result of an underlying reciprocity
mechanism called social viscosity. As a second major point, the
book puts a sharp focus on network reciprocity, one of the five
fundamental mechanisms for adding social viscosity to a system and
one that has been a great concern for study by statistical
physicists in the past decade. The book explains how network
reciprocity works for emerging cooperation, and readers can clearly
understand the existence of substantial mechanics when the term
"network reciprocity" is used. In the latter part of the book,
readers will find several interesting examples in which
evolutionary game theory is applied. One such example is traffic
flow analysis. Traffic flow is one of the subjects that fluid
dynamics can deal with, although flowing objects do not comprise a
pure fluid but, rather, are a set of many particles. Applying the
framework of evolutionary games to realistic traffic flows, the
book reveals that social dilemma structures lie behind traffic
flow.
This book is for all graduate students who are specializing in any
environmental issue and who wish to grasp the fundamentals of
physics that are required in various fields of science and
engineering. The book provides the structural concept of the system
state equation and its dynamics, which can be applicable to
numerical solutions in several important areas such as heat and
mass transfer and fluid dynamics. As a first step, there is a
description of how to solve a linear system by conducting an
analysis of temperature distribution in an infinite soil as a
practical example. This exercise helps readers to fully understand
what time and space discretizations are, and how actual numerical
solutions should work. Because the concept of the system state
equation relies on a vector-matrix form, the book shows how that
particular form is applicable to other practical procedures: linear
multi regression analysis, the least square method, and others. The
book also gives the solution to non-linear dynamical systems and
their applications. Although this book may appear to take an
unusual approach, the author believes it will be inspiring and
greatly helpful for the beginner who seeks a solid understanding of
the basis of mathematics and physics for any environmental
problems.
This book presents the fundamentals of evolutionary game theory and
applies them to the analysis of epidemics, which is of paramount
importance in the aftermath of the worldwide COVID-19 pandemic. The
primary objective of this monograph is to deliver a powerful tool
to model and analyze the spread of an infectious disease during a
pandemic as well as the human decision dynamics. The book employs a
variant of the "vaccination game," in which a mathematical
epidemiological model dovetails with evolutionary game theory. From
a social physics standpoint, this book introduces an extended
concept of the vaccination game starting from the fundamental
issues and touching on the newest practical applications. The book
first outlines the fundamental basis of evolutionary game theory,
in which a two-player and two-strategy game, the so-called 2 x 2
game, and a multi-player game are concisely introduced, and the
important issue of how social dilemmas are quantified is
highlighted. Subsequently, the book discusses various recent
applications of the extended concept of the vaccination game so as
to quantitatively evaluate provisions other than vaccination,
including practical intermediate protective measures such as
mask-wearing, efficiency of quarantine compared with that of
isolation policies for suppressing epidemics, efficiency of
preemptive versus late vaccination, and optimal subsidy policies
for vaccination.
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