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China was the largest and one of the most advanced economies in the
world before the eighteenth century, yet declined precipitately
thereafter and degenerated into one of the world's poorest
economies by the late nineteenth century. Despite generations'
efforts for national rejuvenation, China did not reverse its fate
until it introduced market-oriented reforms in 1979. Since then it
has been the most dynamic economy in the world and is likely to
regain its position as the world's largest economy before 2030.
Based on economic analysis and personal reflection on policy
debates, Justin Yifu Lin provides insightful answers to why China
was so advanced in pre-modern times, what caused it to become so
poor for almost two centuries, how it grew into a market economy,
where its potential is for continuing dynamic growth and what
further reforms are needed to complete the transition to a
well-functioning, advanced market economy.
For a long time, economic research on Africa was not seen as a
profitable venture intellectually or professionally-few researchers
in top-ranked institutions around the world chose to become experts
in the field. This was understandable: the reputation of
Africa-centered economic research was not enhanced by the
well-known limitations of economic data across the continent.
Moreover, development economics itself was not always fashionable,
and the broader discipline of economics has had its ups and downs,
and has been undergoing a major identity crisis because it failed
to predict the Great Recession. Times have changed: many leading
researchers-including a few Nobel laureates-have taken the subject
of Africa and economics seriously enough to devote their expertise
and creativity to it. They have been amply rewarded: the richness,
complexities, and subtleties of African societies, civilizations,
rationalities, and ways of living, have helped renew the humanities
and the social sciences-and economics in particular-to the point
that the continent has become the next major intellectual frontier
to researchers from around the world. In collecting some of the
most authoritative statements about the science of economics and
its concepts in the African context, this handbook (the first of
two volumes) opens up the diverse acuity of commentary on exciting
topics, and in the process challenges and stimulates the quest for
knowledge. Wide-ranging in its scope, themes, language, and
approaches, this volume explores, examines, and assesses economic
thinking on Africa, and Africa's contribution to the discipline.
The editors bring a set of powerful resources to this endeavor,
most notably a team of internationally-renowned economists whose
diverse viewpoints are complemented by the perspectives of
philosophers, political scientists, and anthropologists. The set of
analyses and reflections presented here try to endow each subject
with depth and discovery.
A popular myth about the travails of Africa holds that the
continent's long history of poor economic performance reflects the
inability of its leaders and policymakers to fulfill the long list
of preconditions to be met before sustained growth can be achieved.
These conditions are said to vary from the necessary quantity and
quality of physical and human capital to the appropriate
institutions and business environments. While intellectually
charming and often elegantly formulated, that conventional wisdom
is actually contradicted by historical evidence and common sense.
It also suggests a form of intellectual mimicry that posits a
unique path to prosperity for all countries regardless of their
level of development and economic structure. In fact, the argument
underlining that reasoning is tautological, and the policy
prescriptions derived from it are fatally teleological: low-income
countries are by definition those where such ingredients are
missing. None of today's high-income countries started its growth
process with the "required " and complete list of growth
ingredients. Unless one truly believes that the continent of
Africa-and most developing countries-are ruled predominantly if not
exclusively by plutocrats with a high propensity for sadomasochism,
the conventional view must be re-examined, debated, and questioned.
This volume-the second of the Oxford Handbook of Africa and
Economics-aims at reassessing the economic policies and practices
observed across the continent since independence. It offers a
collection of analyses by some of the leading economists and
development thinkers of our time, and reflects a wide range of
perspectives and viewpoints-even on the same topic. Africa's
emergence as a potential economic powerhouse in the years and
decades ahead amply justifies the scope and ambition of the book.
How poor countries can ignite economic growth without waiting for
global action or the creation of ideal local conditions Contrary to
conventional wisdom, countries that ignite a process of rapid
economic growth almost always do so while lacking what experts say
are the essential preconditions for development, such as good
infrastructure and institutions. In Beating the Odds, two of the
world's leading development economists begin with this paradox to
explain what is wrong with mainstream development thinking--and to
offer a practical blueprint for moving poor countries out of the
low-income trap regardless of their circumstances. Justin Yifu Lin,
the former chief economist of the World Bank, and Celestin Monga,
the chief economist of the African Development Bank, propose a
development strategy that encourages poor countries to leap
directly into the global economy by building industrial parks and
export-processing zones linked to global markets. Countries can
leverage these zones to attract light manufacturing from more
advanced economies, as East Asian countries did in the 1960s and
China did in the 1980s. By attracting foreign investment and firms,
poor countries can improve their trade logistics, increase the
knowledge and skills of local entrepreneurs, gain the confidence of
international buyers, and gradually make local firms competitive.
This strategy is already being used with great success in Vietnam,
Cambodia, Bangladesh, Mauritius, Ethiopia, Rwanda, and other
countries. And the strategy need not be limited to traditional
manufacturing but can also include agriculture, the service sector,
and other activities. Beating the Odds shows how poor countries can
ignite growth without waiting for global action or the creation of
ideal local conditions.
Since the reform and opening up in 1978, the Chinese economy has
grown rapidly. China has become the focus of the world due to its
astonishing achievements in every aspect of its economical growth.
The country's transformation process has witnessed unprecedented
social and economic phenomena and the existing economic theories
have not been able to explain this rapid growth. Therefore, there
is a need to establish new theories. This book fills the gap by
bringing forth new ideas and economic theories.The author, who is
one of China's most prestigious economists, has a profound
understanding of the country's social, economic and political
structures. The book is a collection of his most representative
works in the recent years. The chapters not only investigate
problems and challenges faced by the Chinese economy, but also shed
new light on the solutions and opportunities.
Developing countries have for decades been trying to catch up with
the industrialized high-income countries, but only a few have
succeeded. Historically, structural transformation has been a
powerful engine of growth and job creation. Traditional development
aid is inadequate to address the bottlenecks for structural
transformation, and is hence ineffective. In this book, Justin Yifu
Lin and Yan Wang use the theoretical foundations of New Structural
Economics to examine South-South development aid and cooperation
from the angle of structural transformation. By studying the
successful economic transformation of countries such as China and
South Korea through 'multiple win' solutions based on comparative
advantages and economy of scale, and by presenting new ideas and
different perspectives from emerging market economies such as
Brazil, India and other BRICS countries, they bring a new narrative
to broaden the ongoing discussions of post-2015 development aid and
cooperation as well as the definitions of aid and cooperation.
This is an open access title available under the terms of a CC
BY-NC-ND 4.0 International licence. It is free to read at Oxford
Scholarship Online and offered as a free PDF download from OUP and
selected open access locations. Africa's recent progress in
economic growth has been uneven across countries, and has not
translated into structural transformation. Although economic ties
between China and Africa have made a positive contribution this
engagement has been uneven, shaped by variations in strategic
approach, policy ownership, and implementation capacity among
African governments. As China undergoes major economic rebalancing
to upgrade to an innovation-driven economy, this is bound to affect
China-Africa relations, offering both opportunities and challenges.
Authored by leading scholars on Africa, China, and China-Africa
relations, this volume brings together stimulating and
thought-provoking perspectives, and insightful analyses. Focusing
on Africa's economic development, it looks at core areas of
structural transformation: productive investment and
industrialization, international trade, infrastructure development,
and financing. China-Africa relations are considered in the context
of the global division of labour and power, and through the history
and contexts of both China and Africa, a very diverse continent.
This volume seeks to fill the gap in the existing literature, steer
policy and scholarly debate on the progress and trajectory of
China-Africa cooperation, and analyze China's development path as a
source of learning for Africa.
In June 2008, Justin Yifu Lin was appointed Chief Economist of the
World Bank, right before the eruption of the worst global financial
and economic crisis since the Great Depression. Drawing on
experience from his privileged position, Lin offers unique
reflections on the cause of the crisis, why it was so serious and
widespread, and its likely evolution. Arguing that conventional
theories provide inadequate solutions, he proposes new initiatives
for achieving global stability and avoiding the recurrence of
similar crises in the future. He suggests that the crisis and the
global imbalances both originated with the excess liquidity created
by US financial deregulation and loose monetary policy, and
recommends the creation of a global Marshall Plan and a new
supranational global reserve currency. This thought-provoking book
will appeal to academics, graduate students, policy makers, and
anyone interested in the global economy.
In Economic Development and Transition, renowned development
economist Justin Yifu Lin argues that economic performance in
developing countries depends largely on government strategy. If the
government plays a facilitating role, enabling firms to exploit the
economy's comparative advantages, its economy will develop
successfully. However, governments in most developing countries
attempt to promote industries that go against their comparative
advantages by creating various kinds of distortion to protect
nonviable firms in priority industries. Failing to recognize the
original intention of many distortions, most governments in
transition economies attempt to eliminate those distortions without
addressing firms' viability problems, causing economic performance
to deteriorate in their transition process. Governments in
successful transition economies adopt a pragmatic dual-track
approach that encourages firms to enter sectors that were
suppressed previously and gives necessary support to firms in
priority industries before their viability issue is addressed.
A popular myth about the travails of Africa holds that the
continent's long history of poor economic performance reflects the
inability of its leaders and policymakers to fulfill the long list
of preconditions to be met before sustained growth can be achieved.
These conditions are said to vary from the necessary quantity and
quality of physical and human capital to the appropriate
institutions and business environments. While intellectually
charming and often elegantly formulated, that conventional wisdom
is actually contradicted by historical evidence and common sense.
It also suggests a form of intellectual mimicry that posits a
unique path to prosperity for all countries regardless of their
level of development and economic structure. In fact, the argument
underlining that reasoning is tautological, and the policy
prescriptions derived from it are fatally teleological: low-income
countries are by definition those where such ingredients are
missing. None of today's high-income countries started its growth
process with the "required" and complete list of growth
ingredients. Unless one truly believes that the continent of
Africa-and most developing countries-are ruled predominantly if not
exclusively by plutocrats with a high propensity for sadomasochism,
the conventional view must be re-examined, debated, and questioned.
This volume-the second of the lOxford Handbook of Africa and
Economics-reassesses the economic policies and practices observed
across the continent since independence. It offers a collection of
analyses by some of the leading economists and development thinkers
of our time, and reflects a wide range of perspectives and
viewpoints. Africa's emergence as a potential economic powerhouse
in the years and decades ahead amply justifies the scope and
ambition of the book.
For a long time, economic research on Africa was not seen as a
profitable venture intellectually or professionally-few researchers
in top-ranked institutions around the world chose to become experts
in the field. This was understandable: the reputation of
Africa-centered economic research was not enhanced by the
well-known limitations of economic data across the continent.
Moreover, development economics itself was not always fashionable,
and the broader discipline of economics has had its ups and downs,
and has been undergoing a major identity crisis because it failed
to predict the Great Recession. Times have changed: many leading
researchers-including a few Nobel laureates-have taken the subject
of Africa and economics seriously enough to devote their expertise
and creativity to it. They have been amply rewarded: the richness,
complexities, and subtleties of African societies, civilizations,
rationalities, and ways of living, have helped renew the humanities
and the social sciences-and economics in particular-to the point
that the continent has become the next major intellectual frontier
to researchers from around the world. In collecting some of the
most authoritative statements about the science of economics and
its concepts in the African context, this lhandbook (the first of
two volumes) opens up the diverse acuity of commentary on exciting
topics, and in the process challenges and stimulates the quest for
knowledge. Wide-ranging in its scope, themes, language, and
approaches, this volume explores, examines, and assesses economic
thinking on Africa, and Africa's contribution to the discipline.
The editors bring a set of powerful resources to this endeavor,
most notably a team of internationally-renowned economists whose
diverse viewpoints are complemented by the perspectives of
philosophers, political scientists, and anthropologists.
How can developing countries grow their economies? Most answers
to this question center on what the rich world should or shouldn't
do for the poor world. In "The Quest for Prosperity," Justin Yifu
Lin--the first non-Westerner to be chief economist of the World
Bank--focuses on what developing nations can do to help themselves.
Lin examines how the countries that have succeeded in developing
their own economies have actually done it. Interwoven with
insights, observations, and stories from Lin's travels as chief
economist of the World Bank and his reflections on China's rise,
this book provides a road map and hope for those countries engaged
in their own quest for prosperity.
Industrialization supported by industrial hubs has been widely
associated with structural transformation and catch-up. But while
the direct economic benefits of industrial hubs are significant,
their value lies first and foremost in their contribution as
incubators of industrialization, production and technological
capability, and innovation. The Oxford Handbook of Industrial Hubs
and Economic Development adopts an interdisciplinary approach to
examine the conceptual underpinnings, review empirical evidence of
regions and economies, and extract pertinent lessons for policy
reasearchers and practitioners on the key drivers of success and
failure for industrial hubs. This Handbook illustrates the diverse
and complex nature of industrial hubs and shows how they promote
industrialization, economic structural transformation, and
technological catch-up. It explores the implications of emerging
issues and trends such as environmental protection and
sustainability, technological advancement, shifts in the global
economy, and urbanization.
Economic development is a process of continuous technological
innovation and structural transformation. Development thinking is
inherently tied to the quest for sustainable growth strategies.
This book provides a neoclassical approach for studying the
determinants of economic structure and its transformation and draws
new insights for development policy. The market is the basic
mechanism for effective resource allocation at each level of
development. However, economic development as a dynamic process
entails structural changes, including industrial upgrading and
diversification and corresponding improvements in hard and soft
infrastructure. Such upgrading and improvements require
co-ordination and go hand in hand with large externalities to
firms' transaction costs and returns to capital investment. Thus,
in addition to an effective market mechanism, the government should
play an active role in facilitating structural changes. The book
provides empirical evidence in support of this framework as well as
concrete advice to development practitioners.
The Annual World Bank Conference on Development Economics (ABCDE)
is one of the world s best-known series of conferences for the
presentation and discussion of new knowledge on development. The
conference provides a forum for the world s leading development
thinkers to share new knowledge and ideas. 'Lessons from East Asia
and the Global Financial Crisis' was the theme of the ABCDE held in
Seoul, Republic of Korea, on June 22 24, 2009. The conference was
co-organized by the Government of the Republic of Korea, the Korea
Development Institute (KDI), and the World Bank."
This annual conference is a global gathering of the world s leading
scholars and practitioners. Among the attendees are participants
from developing countries, think tanks, NGOs, and international
institutions. These papers concern: Trade and economic performance:
does Africa s fragmentation matter?; Protectionist Policies and
Manufacturing Trade Flows in Africa; Criss-Crossing Globalization:
The Phenomenon of Uphill Skills flows; The Aid-Migration Trade off;
Are Remittances More Effective than Aid to Improve Child Health? An
Empirical Assessment Using Inter- and Intra-country data; Role of
Emigration and Emigrant Networks in Labor Market Decision of
non-Migrants; the Role of Higher Education in High-tech Industry
Development: A Review of International Experience; Higher Education
and Industry: What Linkages in Africa; An Arrested Virtuous
Circle?; Higher Education and High-tech Industry in India; Health
and socio-economic status: Isolating causal pathways; The Household
Impacts of Treating HIV/AIDS in Developing Countries; First Things
First: Infectious Disease, Child Mortality and the poor in India
1992-2005; What Makes Growth Shared?; On the Political Economy of
Inclusive Development; Characterizing Conflict Forms; Public Goods
Provision in South Asia. Introduction by Justin Yifu Lin and Boris
Pleskovic. Opening addresses by Trevor Manuel, Justin Yifu Lin, and
Thabo Mbeki. Keynote addresses by Michael Spence, Bassma Kodmani,
and Sunil Kant Munjal. Papers by Paul Collier and Anthony J.
Venables; Lawrence Edwards; Aaditya Mattoo and Arvind Subramanian;
Jean-Paul Azam and Ruxanda Berlinschi; Lisa Chauvet, Flore Gubert,
and Sandrine Mesple-Somps; Jinu Koola and Caglar Ozden; Sachi
Hatakenaka; Akilagpa Sawyerr and Boubakar Barry; Rakesh Basant and
Partha Mukhopadhyay; Duncan Thomas; Markus Goldstein, Joshua Graff
Zivin, and Harsha Thirumurthy; Francisco Rodriguez; and Lakshmi
Iyer. Comments by Beata Smarzynska Javorcik, Melvin D. Ayogu,
Jean-Luc Demonsant, Erik Sander, Shahid Yusuf, Pankaj Chandra, T.
Paul Schultz, John Strauss, and Ashutosh Varshney. Closing remarks
by Alan Gelb and Fundi Tshazibana."
The Oxford Handbook of Structural Transformation addresses the
economics of structural transformation around the world. It deals
with major themes, which include history and context, critical
issues and concepts, methodological foundations, main theoretical
approaches, policy issues, some illuminating country experiences of
structural transformation, and important debates on the respective
roles of the market and the state in that process. The historical
record provides a challenge for economists to understand the
success of the rising economic powers (some of them initially
considered unlikely candidates for prosperity) and the stagnation
or decline of others. Five major questions emerge: * Why has so
much divergence occurred among nations of the world since the
Industrial Revolution, and particularly during the 20th century? *
Why has the pattern changed recently with the emergence of a few
developing economies (e.g. the multi-polar world), and can it be
sustained? * What are the key drivers, strategies, and policies, to
foster structural transformation in various different country
contexts and in a constantly evolving global economy? * How could
low- and middle-income countries avoid development traps and learn
from past experiences whilst exploiting the new opportunities
offered by the Fourth Industrial Revolution? * What is the role of
various development stakeholders and other important players in
facilitating sustained economic convergence among nations? This
book addresses these questions, bringing the rigor, usefulness, and
multi-disciplinary scope of the Oxford Handbook series to a
critical topic in economics. The Oxford Handbook of Structural
Transformation is an essential reference work and a stimulus to new
research and creativity across all branches of the social sciences.
Developing countries have for decades been trying to catch up with
the industrialized high-income countries, but only a few have
succeeded. Historically, structural transformation has been a
powerful engine of growth and job creation. Traditional development
aid is inadequate to address the bottlenecks for structural
transformation, and is hence ineffective. In this book, Justin Yifu
Lin and Yan Wang use the theoretical foundations of New Structural
Economics to examine South-South development aid and cooperation
from the angle of structural transformation. By studying the
successful economic transformation of countries such as China and
South Korea through 'multiple win' solutions based on comparative
advantages and economy of scale, and by presenting new ideas and
different perspectives from emerging market economies such as
Brazil, India and other BRICS countries, they bring a new narrative
to broaden the ongoing discussions of post-2015 development aid and
cooperation as well as the definitions of aid and cooperation.
In Economic Development and Transition, renowned development
economist Justin Yifu Lin argues that economic performance in
developing countries depends largely on government strategy. If the
government plays a facilitating role, enabling firms to exploit the
economy"s comparative advantages, its economy will develop
successfully. However, governments in most developing countries
attempt to promote industries that go against their comparative
advantages by creating various kinds of distortion to protect
nonviable firms in priority industries. Failing to recognize the
original intention of many distortions, most governments in
transition economies attempt to eliminate those distortions without
addressing firms" viability problems, causing economic performance
to deteriorate in their transition process. Governments in
successful transition economies adopt a pragmatic dual-track
approach that encourages firms to enter sectors that were
suppressed previously and gives necessary support to firms in
priority industries before their viability issue is addressed.
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