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Speech Recognition has a long history of being one of the difficult
problems in Artificial Intelligence and Computer Science. As one
goes from problem solving tasks such as puzzles and chess to
perceptual tasks such as speech and vision, the problem
characteristics change dramatically: knowledge poor to knowledge
rich; low data rates to high data rates; slow response time
(minutes to hours) to instantaneous response time. These
characteristics taken together increase the computational
complexity of the problem by several orders of magnitude. Further,
speech provides a challenging task domain which embodies many of
the requirements of intelligent behavior: operate in real time;
exploit vast amounts of knowledge, tolerate errorful, unexpected
unknown input; use symbols and abstractions; communicate in natural
language and learn from the environment. Voice input to computers
offers a number of advantages. It provides a natural, fast, hands
free, eyes free, location free input medium. However, there are
many as yet unsolved problems that prevent routine use of speech as
an input device by non-experts. These include cost, real time
response, speaker independence, robustness to variations such as
noise, microphone, speech rate and loudness, and the ability to
handle non-grammatical speech. Satisfactory solutions to each of
these problems can be expected within the next decade. Recognition
of unrestricted spontaneous continuous speech appears unsolvable at
present. However, by the addition of simple constraints, such as
clarification dialog to resolve ambiguity, we believe it will be
possible to develop systems capable of accepting very large
vocabulary continuous speechdictation.
How will artificial intelligence change our world within twenty years?
AI will be the defining development of the twenty-first century. Within
two decades, aspects of daily human life will be unrecognizable. AI
will generate unprecedented wealth, revolutionize medicine and
education through human-machine symbiosis, and create brand new forms
of communication and entertainment. However, AI will also challenge the
organizing principles of our economic and social order and bring new
risks in the form of autonomous weapons and smart technology that
inherits human bias. AI is at a tipping point, and people need to wake
up-both to AI's radiant pathways and its existential perils for life as
we know it.
In this provocative, utterly original work of "scientific fiction,"
Kai-Fu Lee, the former president of Google China and bestselling author
of AI Superpowers, joins forces with celebrated novelist Chen Qiufan to
imagine our AI world in 2041 in ten gripping short stories.
Gazing toward a not-so-distant horizon, AI 2041 offers urgent insights
into our collective future and reminds us that we are the authors of
our own destiny.
Speech Recognition has a long history of being one of the difficult
problems in Artificial Intelligence and Computer Science. As one
goes from problem solving tasks such as puzzles and chess to
perceptual tasks such as speech and vision, the problem
characteristics change dramatically: knowledge poor to knowledge
rich; low data rates to high data rates; slow response time
(minutes to hours) to instantaneous response time. These
characteristics taken together increase the computational
complexity of the problem by several orders of magnitude. Further,
speech provides a challenging task domain which embodies many of
the requirements of intelligent behavior: operate in real time;
exploit vast amounts of knowledge, tolerate errorful, unexpected
unknown input; use symbols and abstractions; communicate in natural
language and learn from the environment. Voice input to computers
offers a number of advantages. It provides a natural, fast, hands
free, eyes free, location free input medium. However, there are
many as yet unsolved problems that prevent routine use of speech as
an input device by non-experts. These include cost, real time
response, speaker independence, robustness to variations such as
noise, microphone, speech rate and loudness, and the ability to
handle non-grammatical speech. Satisfactory solutions to each of
these problems can be expected within the next decade. Recognition
of unrestricted spontaneous continuous speech appears unsolvable at
present. However, by the addition of simple constraints, such as
clarification dialog to resolve ambiguity, we believe it will be
possible to develop systems capable of accepting very large
vocabulary continuous speechdictation.
THE NEW YORK TIMES, USA TODAY, AND WALL STREET JOURNAL BESTSELLER
"Kai-Fu Lee believes China will be the next tech-innovation
superpower and in AI Superpowers: China, Silicon Valley, and the
New World Order, he explains why. Taiwan-born Lee is perfectly
positioned for the task."-New York Magazine In this
thought-provoking book, Lee argues powerfully that because of the
unprecedented developments in AI, dramatic changes will be
happening much sooner than many of us expected. Indeed, as the
US-Sino AI competition begins to heat up, Lee urges the US and
China to both accept and to embrace the great responsibilities that
come with significant technological power. Most experts already say
that AI will have a devastating impact on blue-collar jobs. But Lee
predicts that Chinese and American AI will have a strong impact on
white-collar jobs as well. Is universal basic income the solution?
In Lee's opinion, probably not. But he provides a clear description
of which jobs will be affected and how soon, which jobs can be
enhanced with AI, and most importantly, how we can provide
solutions to some of the most profound changes in the future of
human history.
In AI Superpowers, Kai-fu Lee argues powerfully that because of
these unprecedented developments in AI, dramatic changes will be
happening much sooner than many of us expected. Indeed, as the
US-Sino AI competition begins to heat up, Lee urges the US and
China to both accept and to embrace the great responsibilities that
come with significant technological power. Most experts already say
that AI will have a devastating impact on blue-collar jobs. But Lee
predicts that Chinese and American AI will have a strong impact on
white-collar jobs as well. Is universal basic income the solution?
In Lee's opinion, probably not. But he provides a clear description
of which jobs will be affected and how soon, which jobs can be
enhanced with AI, and most importantly, how we can provide
solutions to some of the most profound changes in human history
that are coming soon.
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