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For a long time, conventional reliability analyses have been
oriented towards selecting the more reliable system and preoccupied
with maximising the reliability of engineering systems. On the
basis of counterexamples however, we demonstrate that selecting the
more reliable system does not necessarily mean selecting the system
with the smaller losses from failures! As a result, reliability
analyses should necessarily be risk-based, linked with the losses
from failures.
Accordingly, a theoretical framework and models are presented which
form the foundations of the reliability analysis and reliability
allocation linked with the losses from failures.
An underlying theme in the book is the basic principle for a
risk-based design: the larger the cost of failure associated with a
component, the larger its minimum necessary reliability level. Even
identical components should be designed to different reliability
levels if their failures are associated with different losses.
According to a classical definition, the risk of failure is a
product of the probability of failure and the cost given failure.
This risk measure however cannot describe the risk of losses
exceeding a maximum acceptable limit. Traditionally the losses from
failures have been 'accounted for' by the average production
availability (the ratio of the actual production capacity and the
maximum production capacity). As demonstrated in the book by using
a simple counterexample, two systems with the same production
availability can be characterised by very different losses from
failures.
As an alternative, a new aggregated risk measure based on the
cumulative distribution of the potential losses has been
introducedand the theoretical framework for risk analysis based on
the concept potential losses has also been developed. This new risk
measure incorporates the uncertainty associated with the exposure
to losses and the uncertainty in the consequences given the
exposure. For repairable systems with complex topology, the
distribution of the potential losses can be revealed by simulating
the behaviour of systems during their life-cycle. For this purpose,
fast discrete event-driven simulators are presented capable of
tracking the potential losses for systems with complex topology,
composed of a large number of components. The simulators are based
on new, very efficient algorithms for system reliability analysis
of systems comprising thousands of components.
An important theme in the book are the generic principles and
techniques for reducing technical risk. These have been classified
into three major categories: preventive (reducing the likelihood of
failure), protective (reducing the consequences from failure) and
dual (reducing both, the likelihood and the consequences from
failure). Many of these principles (for example: avoiding
clustering of events, deliberately introducing weak links, reducing
sensitivity, introducing changes with opposite sign, etc.) are
discussed in the reliability literature for the first time.
Significant space has been allocated to component reliability. In
the last chapter of the book, several applications are discussed of
a powerful equation which constitutes the core of a new theory of
locally initiated component failure by flaws whose number is a
random variable.
This book has been written with the intention to fill two big gaps
in the reliability and riskliterature: the risk-based reliability
analysis as a powerful alternative to the traditional reliability
analysis and the generic principles for reducing technical risk. I
hope that the principles, models and algorithms presented in the
book will help to fill these gaps and make the book useful to
reliability and risk-analysts, researchers, consultants, students
and practising engineers.
- Offers a shift in the existing paradigm for conducting
reliability analyses.
- Covers risk-based reliability analysis and generic principles for
reducing risk.
- Provides a new measure of risk based on the distribution of the
potential losses from failure as well as the basic principles for
risk-based design.
- Incorporates fast algorithms for system reliability analysis and
discrete-event simulators.
- Includes the probability of failure of a structure with complex
shape expressed with a simple equation.
Prior to 1979, China had a bifurcated and geographically-dispersed
industrial structure made up of a relatively small number of
large-scale, state-owned enterprises in various industries
alongside numerous small-scale, energy-intensive and polluting
enterprises. Economic reforms beginning in 1979 led to the rapid
expansion of these small-scale manufacturing enterprises in
numerous energy-intensive industries such as aluminum, cement, iron
and steel, and pulp and paper. Subsequently, the government adopted
a new industrial development strategy labeled "grasp the large, let
go the small." The aims of this new policy were to close many of
the unprofitable, small-scale manufacturing plants in these (and
other) industries, create a small number of large enterprises that
could compete with OECD multinationals, entice these larger
enterprises to engage in high-speed technological catch-up, and
save energy. China's Technological Catch-Up Strategy traces the
impact of this new industrial development strategy on technological
catch-up, energy use, and CO2 emissions. In doing so, the authors
explore several detailed, enterprise-level case studies of
technological catch-up; develop industry-wide estimates of energy
and CO2 savings from specific catch-up interventions; and present
detailed econometric work on the determinants of energy intensity.
The authors conclude that China's strategy has contributred to
substantial energy and CO2 savings, but it has not led to either a
peaking of or a decline in CO2 emissions in these industries. More
work is needed to cap and reduce China's CO2 emissions.
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Maikel (Paperback)
Michael T. Ashgillian
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R367
Discovery Miles 3 670
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Ships in 10 - 15 working days
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The lack of widespread education in space safety engineering and
management has profound effects on project team effectiveness in
integrating safety during design. On one side, it slows down the
professional development of junior safety engineers, while on the
other side it creates a sectarian attitude that isolates safety
engineers from the rest of the project team. To speed up
professional development, bridge the gap within the team, and
prevent hampered communication and missed feedback, the entire
project team needs to acquire and develop a shared culture of space
safety principles and techniques.The second edition of Safety
Design for Space Systems continues to address these issues with
substantial updates to chapters such as battery safety, life
support systems, robotic systems safety, and fire safety. This book
also features new chapters on crew survivability design and nuclear
space systems safety. Finally, the discussion of human rating
concepts, safety-by-design principles, and safety management
practices have also been revised and improved. With contributions
from leading experts worldwide, this second edition represents an
essential educational resource and reference tool for engineers and
managers working on space projects.
Tropical Cyclones: Observations and Basic Processes provides a
modern observational overview of tropical cyclone structure and
behavior. The book is organized into two sections. Part I builds a
new foundation for a basic understanding of tropical cyclone
genesis, intensification, and weakening. Part II employs the basic
elements developed in Chapters 2--10 to present new appraisals of
the accepted WISHE paradigm of vortex intensification, storm
energetics, requirements for a quasi-steady state hurricane, and
more likely transient lifecycle behavior in a consistent
three-dimensional flow configuration. Tropical Cyclones provides a
state-of-the-art summary of the fundamentals of cyclones accessible
to advanced undergraduates, graduate students, and hurricane
forecasters. Tropical cyclones are one of the biggest threats to
life and property even in the formative stages of their
development. They include a number of different hazards that can
individually cause significant impacts on life and property, such
as storm surge, flooding, extreme winds, tornadoes, and lighting.
Members of the Royal Meteorological Society are eligible for a 35%
discount on all Developments in Weather and Climate Science series
titles. See the RMetS member dashboard for the discount code.
Higher education has changed significantly over the past 50 years,
and the individuals who provide leadership for these institutions
has similarly changed. The pathway to the college presidency, once
the domain of academic administration, has diversified as an
increasing number of development officers, student affairs and
enrollment management professionals, and even politicians have
become common in the role. It is important to understand who the
presidents are in the current environment and the challenges they
face. Challenges such as dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic,
enrollment shortfalls, Title IX, and athletic scandals have risen
to the forefront and have contributed to the issues and role of
college and university leadership. The Handbook of Research on the
Changing Role of College and University Leadership provides
important research on the topic of college and university
leadership, especially focusing on the changing role of the college
president. The chapters discuss college leadership as it is now and
how it will evolve into the future. Topics included are the role of
the president at various types of universities, their involvement
within university functions and activities, and the duties they
must carry out and challenges they face. This book is ideal for
professionals and researchers working in higher education,
including faculty members who specialize in education, public
administration, the social sciences, and management, along with
teachers, administrators, teacher educators, practitioners,
researchers, academicians, and students who are interested in
college and university leadership and how this role is
transforming.
This book differs from traditional numerical analysis texts in that
it focuses on the motivation and ideas behind the algorithms
presented rather than on detailed analyses of them. It presents a
broad overview of methods and software for solving mathematical
problems arising in computational modeling and data analysis,
including proper problem formulation, selection of effective
solution algorithms, and interpretation of results. In the 20 years
since its original publication, the modern, fundamental perspective
of this book has aged well, and it continues to be used in the
classroom. This Classics edition has been updated to include
pointers to Python software and the Chebfun package, expansions on
barycentric formulation for Lagrange polynomial interpretation and
stochastic methods, and the availability of about 100 interactive
educational modules that dynamically illustrate the concepts and
algorithms in the book. Scientific Computing: An Introductory
Survey, Second Edition is intended as both a textbook and a
reference for computationally oriented disciplines that need to
solve mathematical problems.
Social demonstrations that take place on university campuses have
profound effects on students as well as the environments in which
those students live and learn. These demonstrations, in recent
years, have taken on traditional forms such as spontaneous
protests, organized marches, and organized rallies, but they have
also been affected by technologically mediated strategies that can
bring larger sets of students together to support shared beliefs.
Exploring the Technological, Societal, and Institutional Dimensions
of College Student Activism provides emerging research exploring
the theoretical and practical aspects of social demonstrations on
university campuses and responses from administrative
professionals. Featuring coverage on a broad range of topics such
as advocacy, student activism, and free speech, this book is
ideally designed for university administrators, policymakers,
government officials, academic leaders, researchers, and
institutions seeking current research on student engagement in
social demonstrations on the campuses of colleges and universities.
In this issue of Neurosurgery Clinics, guest editor Dr. Michael T.
Lawton brings his considerable expertise to the topic of Update on
Open Vascular Surgery. The field of open vascular neurosurgery has
undergone significant change as endovascular technologies have
advanced and endovascular market share has grown. In this issue,
top experts in the field explore various responses to these trends,
providing valuable information to neurosurgeons aspiring to stay
current with contemporary management of aneurysms, brain
arteriovenous malformations, cavernous malformations, and bypass
techniques. Contains 15 practice-oriented topics including wide
neck and bifurcation aneurysms: balancing open and endovascular
therapies; application of big data in vascular neurosurgery;
rethinking cerebral bypass surgery; AI, machine learning and
cavernous malformations; the transcavernous approach in vascular
neurosurgery; and more. Provides in-depth clinical reviews on open
vascular surgery, offering actionable insights for clinical
practice. Presents the latest information on this timely, focused
topic under the leadership of experienced editors in the field.
Authors synthesize and distill the latest research and practice
guidelines to create clinically significant, topic-based reviews.
Getting growth going has been rare in the developing world-since
1960 only nine developing countries have succeeded in sustaining
high growth. The aim of Dictators, Democrats and Development in
Southeast Asia is to examine how dictators and democrats in three
of the nine fast growers -Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand,
hereafter IMT-built and sustained pro-growth political coalitions
that enabled them to adopt policies that ushered in sustained high
growth. The focus is on IMT because circa 1960 few thought the
three were candidates for high growth and because the three have
factor endowments, ethnic heterogeneity, and forms of governance
that resemble the Rest. These similarities suggest the Rest may
have much to learn from IMT. The focus is unabashedly on the
politics of development in IMT because dictators and democrats in
IMT built and sustained pro-growth political coalitions that
enabled them to link their long term political survival with
delivering development. How and why they did so should be of keen
interest to the Rest. Because dictators and democrats in IMT were
committed to capitalist, industrial and open economy development
strategies but deeply suspicious of a laissez faire approach to
development, none of the three ever adopted a Washington Consensus
style growth strategy. While all three toyed with a Northeast style
capitalist developmental state approach to growth, because
governments in IMT lacked the political requisites to make this
strategy work, none really stuck to this approach to growth either.
Instead dictators and democrats in IMT implemented highly pragmatic
growth and development strategies. When markets worked, governments
used them. When interventions worked governments relied on them.
When either failed to deliver expected results, governments weeded
out bad investments to sustain high growth. Such a pragmatic, trial
and error approach to development should also be of keen interest
to the Rest.
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