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Risk-Based Reliability Analysis and Generic Principles for Risk Reduction (Hardcover): Michael T Todinov Risk-Based Reliability Analysis and Generic Principles for Risk Reduction (Hardcover)
Michael T Todinov
R3,876 Discovery Miles 38 760 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

For a long time, conventional reliability analyses have been oriented towards selecting the more reliable system and preoccupied with maximising the reliability of engineering systems. On the basis of counterexamples however, we demonstrate that selecting the more reliable system does not necessarily mean selecting the system with the smaller losses from failures! As a result, reliability analyses should necessarily be risk-based, linked with the losses from failures.
Accordingly, a theoretical framework and models are presented which form the foundations of the reliability analysis and reliability allocation linked with the losses from failures.
An underlying theme in the book is the basic principle for a risk-based design: the larger the cost of failure associated with a component, the larger its minimum necessary reliability level. Even identical components should be designed to different reliability levels if their failures are associated with different losses.
According to a classical definition, the risk of failure is a product of the probability of failure and the cost given failure. This risk measure however cannot describe the risk of losses exceeding a maximum acceptable limit. Traditionally the losses from failures have been 'accounted for' by the average production availability (the ratio of the actual production capacity and the maximum production capacity). As demonstrated in the book by using a simple counterexample, two systems with the same production availability can be characterised by very different losses from failures.
As an alternative, a new aggregated risk measure based on the cumulative distribution of the potential losses has been introducedand the theoretical framework for risk analysis based on the concept potential losses has also been developed. This new risk measure incorporates the uncertainty associated with the exposure to losses and the uncertainty in the consequences given the exposure. For repairable systems with complex topology, the distribution of the potential losses can be revealed by simulating the behaviour of systems during their life-cycle. For this purpose, fast discrete event-driven simulators are presented capable of tracking the potential losses for systems with complex topology, composed of a large number of components. The simulators are based on new, very efficient algorithms for system reliability analysis of systems comprising thousands of components.
An important theme in the book are the generic principles and techniques for reducing technical risk. These have been classified into three major categories: preventive (reducing the likelihood of failure), protective (reducing the consequences from failure) and dual (reducing both, the likelihood and the consequences from failure). Many of these principles (for example: avoiding clustering of events, deliberately introducing weak links, reducing sensitivity, introducing changes with opposite sign, etc.) are discussed in the reliability literature for the first time.
Significant space has been allocated to component reliability. In the last chapter of the book, several applications are discussed of a powerful equation which constitutes the core of a new theory of locally initiated component failure by flaws whose number is a random variable.
This book has been written with the intention to fill two big gaps in the reliability and riskliterature: the risk-based reliability analysis as a powerful alternative to the traditional reliability analysis and the generic principles for reducing technical risk. I hope that the principles, models and algorithms presented in the book will help to fill these gaps and make the book useful to reliability and risk-analysts, researchers, consultants, students and practising engineers.
- Offers a shift in the existing paradigm for conducting reliability analyses.
- Covers risk-based reliability analysis and generic principles for reducing risk.
- Provides a new measure of risk based on the distribution of the potential losses from failure as well as the basic principles for risk-based design.
- Incorporates fast algorithms for system reliability analysis and discrete-event simulators.
- Includes the probability of failure of a structure with complex shape expressed with a simple equation.

China's Technological Catch-Up Strategy - Industrial Development, Energy Efficiency, and CO2 Emissions (Hardcover):... China's Technological Catch-Up Strategy - Industrial Development, Energy Efficiency, and CO2 Emissions (Hardcover)
Michael T. Rock, Michael Toman
R1,972 Discovery Miles 19 720 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Prior to 1979, China had a bifurcated and geographically-dispersed industrial structure made up of a relatively small number of large-scale, state-owned enterprises in various industries alongside numerous small-scale, energy-intensive and polluting enterprises. Economic reforms beginning in 1979 led to the rapid expansion of these small-scale manufacturing enterprises in numerous energy-intensive industries such as aluminum, cement, iron and steel, and pulp and paper. Subsequently, the government adopted a new industrial development strategy labeled "grasp the large, let go the small." The aims of this new policy were to close many of the unprofitable, small-scale manufacturing plants in these (and other) industries, create a small number of large enterprises that could compete with OECD multinationals, entice these larger enterprises to engage in high-speed technological catch-up, and save energy. China's Technological Catch-Up Strategy traces the impact of this new industrial development strategy on technological catch-up, energy use, and CO2 emissions. In doing so, the authors explore several detailed, enterprise-level case studies of technological catch-up; develop industry-wide estimates of energy and CO2 savings from specific catch-up interventions; and present detailed econometric work on the determinants of energy intensity. The authors conclude that China's strategy has contributred to substantial energy and CO2 savings, but it has not led to either a peaking of or a decline in CO2 emissions in these industries. More work is needed to cap and reduce China's CO2 emissions.

Into the East (Paperback): Michael T. Ashgillian Into the East (Paperback)
Michael T. Ashgillian
R351 Discovery Miles 3 510 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Maikel (Paperback): Michael T. Ashgillian Maikel (Paperback)
Michael T. Ashgillian
R367 Discovery Miles 3 670 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Tiedan Nimesi - Peredur's Tale (Paperback): Michael T. Ashgillian Tiedan Nimesi - Peredur's Tale (Paperback)
Michael T. Ashgillian
R369 Discovery Miles 3 690 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Ginnungagap - The Homecoming (Paperback): Michael T. Ashgillian Ginnungagap - The Homecoming (Paperback)
Michael T. Ashgillian
R343 Discovery Miles 3 430 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
The Peacemaker (Paperback): Michael T. Ashgillian The Peacemaker (Paperback)
Michael T. Ashgillian
R340 Discovery Miles 3 400 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Morrigan's Price - AURINKUUMAA (Paperback): Michael T. Ashgillian Morrigan's Price - AURINKUUMAA (Paperback)
Michael T. Ashgillian
R377 Discovery Miles 3 770 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
The Last Hero (Paperback): Michael T. Ashgillian The Last Hero (Paperback)
Michael T. Ashgillian
R376 Discovery Miles 3 760 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
The Fairey Flag (Paperback): Michael T. Ashgillian The Fairey Flag (Paperback)
Michael T. Ashgillian
R347 Discovery Miles 3 470 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Fimbul: The Awakening of the Wolf (Paperback): Michael T. Ashgillian Fimbul: The Awakening of the Wolf (Paperback)
Michael T. Ashgillian
R349 Discovery Miles 3 490 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Under the Tree - A Northland Tale (Paperback): Michael T. Ashgillian Under the Tree - A Northland Tale (Paperback)
Michael T. Ashgillian
R288 Discovery Miles 2 880 Ships in 10 - 15 working days
Safety Design for Space Systems (Hardcover, 2nd edition): Tommaso Sgobba, Gary Musgrave, Gary Johnson, Michael T. Kezirian Safety Design for Space Systems (Hardcover, 2nd edition)
Tommaso Sgobba, Gary Musgrave, Gary Johnson, Michael T. Kezirian
R3,105 Discovery Miles 31 050 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

The lack of widespread education in space safety engineering and management has profound effects on project team effectiveness in integrating safety during design. On one side, it slows down the professional development of junior safety engineers, while on the other side it creates a sectarian attitude that isolates safety engineers from the rest of the project team. To speed up professional development, bridge the gap within the team, and prevent hampered communication and missed feedback, the entire project team needs to acquire and develop a shared culture of space safety principles and techniques.The second edition of Safety Design for Space Systems continues to address these issues with substantial updates to chapters such as battery safety, life support systems, robotic systems safety, and fire safety. This book also features new chapters on crew survivability design and nuclear space systems safety. Finally, the discussion of human rating concepts, safety-by-design principles, and safety management practices have also been revised and improved. With contributions from leading experts worldwide, this second edition represents an essential educational resource and reference tool for engineers and managers working on space projects.

Tropical Cyclones, Volume 4 - Observations and Basic Processes (Paperback): Roger K. Smith, Michael T. Montgomery Tropical Cyclones, Volume 4 - Observations and Basic Processes (Paperback)
Roger K. Smith, Michael T. Montgomery
R2,473 Discovery Miles 24 730 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Tropical Cyclones: Observations and Basic Processes provides a modern observational overview of tropical cyclone structure and behavior. The book is organized into two sections. Part I builds a new foundation for a basic understanding of tropical cyclone genesis, intensification, and weakening. Part II employs the basic elements developed in Chapters 2--10 to present new appraisals of the accepted WISHE paradigm of vortex intensification, storm energetics, requirements for a quasi-steady state hurricane, and more likely transient lifecycle behavior in a consistent three-dimensional flow configuration. Tropical Cyclones provides a state-of-the-art summary of the fundamentals of cyclones accessible to advanced undergraduates, graduate students, and hurricane forecasters. Tropical cyclones are one of the biggest threats to life and property even in the formative stages of their development. They include a number of different hazards that can individually cause significant impacts on life and property, such as storm surge, flooding, extreme winds, tornadoes, and lighting. Members of the Royal Meteorological Society are eligible for a 35% discount on all Developments in Weather and Climate Science series titles. See the RMetS member dashboard for the discount code.

The Legend of Hoopman (Hardcover): Michael T. Gregory The Legend of Hoopman (Hardcover)
Michael T. Gregory
R685 R624 Discovery Miles 6 240 Save R61 (9%) Ships in 18 - 22 working days
Desert Skies - A Story of Champions in the Gulf War (Hardcover): Michael T. Gregory Desert Skies - A Story of Champions in the Gulf War (Hardcover)
Michael T. Gregory
R702 R641 Discovery Miles 6 410 Save R61 (9%) Ships in 18 - 22 working days
Desert Skies II - A Story of Warriors in Operation Iraqi Freedom (Hardcover): Michael T. Gregory Desert Skies II - A Story of Warriors in Operation Iraqi Freedom (Hardcover)
Michael T. Gregory
R511 R485 Discovery Miles 4 850 Save R26 (5%) Ships in 18 - 22 working days
Mojo Momentum (Hardcover): Michael T Jordan Mojo Momentum (Hardcover)
Michael T Jordan
R661 Discovery Miles 6 610 Ships in 18 - 22 working days
History and Description of Needle Making: Michael T Morrall History and Description of Needle Making
Michael T Morrall
R732 Discovery Miles 7 320 Ships in 18 - 22 working days
Handbook of Research on the Changing Role of College and University Leadership (Hardcover): Michael T. Miller, G. David Gearhart Handbook of Research on the Changing Role of College and University Leadership (Hardcover)
Michael T. Miller, G. David Gearhart
R6,648 Discovery Miles 66 480 Ships in 18 - 22 working days

Higher education has changed significantly over the past 50 years, and the individuals who provide leadership for these institutions has similarly changed. The pathway to the college presidency, once the domain of academic administration, has diversified as an increasing number of development officers, student affairs and enrollment management professionals, and even politicians have become common in the role. It is important to understand who the presidents are in the current environment and the challenges they face. Challenges such as dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic, enrollment shortfalls, Title IX, and athletic scandals have risen to the forefront and have contributed to the issues and role of college and university leadership. The Handbook of Research on the Changing Role of College and University Leadership provides important research on the topic of college and university leadership, especially focusing on the changing role of the college president. The chapters discuss college leadership as it is now and how it will evolve into the future. Topics included are the role of the president at various types of universities, their involvement within university functions and activities, and the duties they must carry out and challenges they face. This book is ideal for professionals and researchers working in higher education, including faculty members who specialize in education, public administration, the social sciences, and management, along with teachers, administrators, teacher educators, practitioners, researchers, academicians, and students who are interested in college and university leadership and how this role is transforming.

Scientific Computing - An Introductory Survey (Paperback, 2nd Revised edition): Michael T. Heath Scientific Computing - An Introductory Survey (Paperback, 2nd Revised edition)
Michael T. Heath
R2,653 R2,384 Discovery Miles 23 840 Save R269 (10%) Out of stock

This book differs from traditional numerical analysis texts in that it focuses on the motivation and ideas behind the algorithms presented rather than on detailed analyses of them. It presents a broad overview of methods and software for solving mathematical problems arising in computational modeling and data analysis, including proper problem formulation, selection of effective solution algorithms, and interpretation of results. In the 20 years since its original publication, the modern, fundamental perspective of this book has aged well, and it continues to be used in the classroom. This Classics edition has been updated to include pointers to Python software and the Chebfun package, expansions on barycentric formulation for Lagrange polynomial interpretation and stochastic methods, and the availability of about 100 interactive educational modules that dynamically illustrate the concepts and algorithms in the book. Scientific Computing: An Introductory Survey, Second Edition is intended as both a textbook and a reference for computationally oriented disciplines that need to solve mathematical problems.

Exploring the Technological, Societal, and Institutional Dimensions of College Student Activism (Hardcover): Michael T. Miller,... Exploring the Technological, Societal, and Institutional Dimensions of College Student Activism (Hardcover)
Michael T. Miller, David V. Tolliver
R4,611 Discovery Miles 46 110 Ships in 18 - 22 working days

Social demonstrations that take place on university campuses have profound effects on students as well as the environments in which those students live and learn. These demonstrations, in recent years, have taken on traditional forms such as spontaneous protests, organized marches, and organized rallies, but they have also been affected by technologically mediated strategies that can bring larger sets of students together to support shared beliefs. Exploring the Technological, Societal, and Institutional Dimensions of College Student Activism provides emerging research exploring the theoretical and practical aspects of social demonstrations on university campuses and responses from administrative professionals. Featuring coverage on a broad range of topics such as advocacy, student activism, and free speech, this book is ideally designed for university administrators, policymakers, government officials, academic leaders, researchers, and institutions seeking current research on student engagement in social demonstrations on the campuses of colleges and universities.

Update on Open Vascular Surgery, An Issue of Neurosurgery Clinics of North America, Volume 33-4 (Hardcover): Michael T. Lawton Update on Open Vascular Surgery, An Issue of Neurosurgery Clinics of North America, Volume 33-4 (Hardcover)
Michael T. Lawton
R2,794 Discovery Miles 27 940 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

In this issue of Neurosurgery Clinics, guest editor Dr. Michael T. Lawton brings his considerable expertise to the topic of Update on Open Vascular Surgery. The field of open vascular neurosurgery has undergone significant change as endovascular technologies have advanced and endovascular market share has grown. In this issue, top experts in the field explore various responses to these trends, providing valuable information to neurosurgeons aspiring to stay current with contemporary management of aneurysms, brain arteriovenous malformations, cavernous malformations, and bypass techniques. Contains 15 practice-oriented topics including wide neck and bifurcation aneurysms: balancing open and endovascular therapies; application of big data in vascular neurosurgery; rethinking cerebral bypass surgery; AI, machine learning and cavernous malformations; the transcavernous approach in vascular neurosurgery; and more. Provides in-depth clinical reviews on open vascular surgery, offering actionable insights for clinical practice. Presents the latest information on this timely, focused topic under the leadership of experienced editors in the field. Authors synthesize and distill the latest research and practice guidelines to create clinically significant, topic-based reviews.

Dictators, Democrats, and Development in Southeast Asia - Implications for the Rest (Hardcover): Michael T. Rock Dictators, Democrats, and Development in Southeast Asia - Implications for the Rest (Hardcover)
Michael T. Rock
R2,486 Discovery Miles 24 860 Ships in 10 - 15 working days

Getting growth going has been rare in the developing world-since 1960 only nine developing countries have succeeded in sustaining high growth. The aim of Dictators, Democrats and Development in Southeast Asia is to examine how dictators and democrats in three of the nine fast growers -Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand, hereafter IMT-built and sustained pro-growth political coalitions that enabled them to adopt policies that ushered in sustained high growth. The focus is on IMT because circa 1960 few thought the three were candidates for high growth and because the three have factor endowments, ethnic heterogeneity, and forms of governance that resemble the Rest. These similarities suggest the Rest may have much to learn from IMT. The focus is unabashedly on the politics of development in IMT because dictators and democrats in IMT built and sustained pro-growth political coalitions that enabled them to link their long term political survival with delivering development. How and why they did so should be of keen interest to the Rest. Because dictators and democrats in IMT were committed to capitalist, industrial and open economy development strategies but deeply suspicious of a laissez faire approach to development, none of the three ever adopted a Washington Consensus style growth strategy. While all three toyed with a Northeast style capitalist developmental state approach to growth, because governments in IMT lacked the political requisites to make this strategy work, none really stuck to this approach to growth either. Instead dictators and democrats in IMT implemented highly pragmatic growth and development strategies. When markets worked, governments used them. When interventions worked governments relied on them. When either failed to deliver expected results, governments weeded out bad investments to sustain high growth. Such a pragmatic, trial and error approach to development should also be of keen interest to the Rest.

Paradigm Shift (Hardcover): Michael T. Gracey Paradigm Shift (Hardcover)
Michael T. Gracey
R1,051 Discovery Miles 10 510 Ships in 18 - 22 working days
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