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Prior to 1979, China had a bifurcated and geographically-dispersed
industrial structure made up of a relatively small number of
large-scale, state-owned enterprises in various industries
alongside numerous small-scale, energy-intensive and polluting
enterprises. Economic reforms beginning in 1979 led to the rapid
expansion of these small-scale manufacturing enterprises in
numerous energy-intensive industries such as aluminum, cement, iron
and steel, and pulp and paper. Subsequently, the government adopted
a new industrial development strategy labeled "grasp the large, let
go the small." The aims of this new policy were to close many of
the unprofitable, small-scale manufacturing plants in these (and
other) industries, create a small number of large enterprises that
could compete with OECD multinationals, entice these larger
enterprises to engage in high-speed technological catch-up, and
save energy. China's Technological Catch-Up Strategy traces the
impact of this new industrial development strategy on technological
catch-up, energy use, and CO2 emissions. In doing so, the authors
explore several detailed, enterprise-level case studies of
technological catch-up; develop industry-wide estimates of energy
and CO2 savings from specific catch-up interventions; and present
detailed econometric work on the determinants of energy intensity.
The authors conclude that China's strategy has contributred to
substantial energy and CO2 savings, but it has not led to either a
peaking of or a decline in CO2 emissions in these industries. More
work is needed to cap and reduce China's CO2 emissions.
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