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'If great books encourage you to look at the world in an entirely
new way, then Dominion is a very great book indeed . . . Written
with terrific learning, enthusiasm and good humour, Holland's book
is not just supremely provocative, but often very funny' Sunday
Times History Book of the Year Christianity is the most enduring
and influential legacy of the ancient world, and its emergence the
single most transformative development in Western history. Even the
increasing number in the West today who have abandoned the faith of
their forebears, and dismiss all religion as pointless
superstition, remain recognisably its heirs. Seen close-up, the
division between a sceptic and a believer may seem unbridgeable.
Widen the focus, though, and Christianity's enduring impact upon
the West can be seen in the emergence of much that has
traditionally been cast as its nemesis: in science, in secularism,
and yes, even in atheism. That is why Dominion will place the story
of how we came to be what we are, and how we think the way that we
do, in the broadest historical context. Ranging in time from the
Persian invasion of Greece in 480 BC to the on-going migration
crisis in Europe today, and from Nebuchadnezzar to the Beatles, it
will explore just what it was that made Christianity so
revolutionary and disruptive; how completely it came to saturate
the mind-set of Latin Christendom; and why, in a West that has
become increasingly doubtful of religion's claims, so many of its
instincts remain irredeemably Christian. The aim is twofold: to
make the reader appreciate just how novel and uncanny were
Christian teachings when they first appeared in the world; and to
make ourselves, and all that we take for granted, appear similarly
strange in consequence. We stand at the end-point of an
extraordinary transformation in the understanding of what it is to
be human: one that can only be fully appreciated by tracing the arc
of its parabola over millennia.
From the bestselling author of The Black Swan, a bold book that
challenges many of our long-held beliefs about risk and reward,
politics and religion, finance and personal responsibility Why
should we never listen to people who explain rather than do? Why do
companies go bust? How is it that we have more slaves today than in
Roman times? Why does imposing democracy on other countries never
work? The answer: too many people running the world don't have skin
in the game. In his inimitable, pugnacious style, Nassim Nicholas
Taleb shows that skin in the game applies to all aspects of our
lives. It's about having something to lose and taking a risk.
Citizens, lab experimenters, artisans, political activists and
hedge fund traders all have skin in the game. Policy wonks,
corporate executives, theoreticians, bankers and most journalists
don't. As Taleb says, "The symmetry of skin in the game is a simple
rule that's necessary for fairness and justice, and the ultimate
BS-buster," and "Never trust anyone who doesn't have skin in the
game. Without it, fools and crooks will benefit, and their mistakes
will never come back to haunt them".
Everyone wants to succeed in life. But what causes some of us to be
more successful than others? Is it really down to skill and
strategy - or something altogether more unpredictable? This book is
the bestselling sensation that will change the way you think about
business and the world. It is all about luck: more precisely, how
we perceive luck in our personal and professional experiences.
Nowhere is this more obvious than in the markets - we hear an
entrepreneur has 'vision' or a trader is 'talented', but all too
often their performance is down to chance rather than skill. It is
only because we fail to understand probability that we continue to
believe events are non-random, finding reasons where none exist.
'One of the smartest books of all time' Fortune 'An iconoclastic
tour de force ... nothing escapes his Exocets' Evening Standard
'Brilliant' John Kay 'Excellent and thought-provoking ... an
entertaining book' Financial Times 'Wall Street's principal
dissident' Malcolm Gladwell
What is a safe haven? What role should they play in an investment
portfolio? Do we use them only to seek shelter until the passing of
financial storms? Or are they something more? Contrary to
everything we know from modern financial theory, can higher returns
actually come as a result of lowering risk? In Safe Haven, hedge
fund manager Mark Spitznagel—one of the top practitioners of safe
haven investing and portfolio risk mitigation in the
world—answers these questions and more. Investors who heed the
message in this book will never look at risk mitigation the same
way again.
'Really made me think about how I think' - Mohsin Hamid, author of
Exit West Tough times don't last. Tough people do. In The Black
Swan, Taleb showed us that highly improbable and unpredictable
events underlie almost everything about our world. Here Taleb
stands uncer tainty on its head, making it desirable, even
necessary. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or robust. The
resil ient resists shocks and stays the same; the antifragile gets
better and better. Just as human bones get stronger when subjected
to stress and tension, many things in life benefit from stress,
disorder, volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and
calls antifragile are things that not only gain from chaos but need
it in order to survive and flourish. Antifragile is a blueprint for
living in a Black Swan world. Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic,
Taleb's message is revolutionary: the antifragile, and only the
antifragile, will make it. 'The hottest thinker in the world' Bryan
Appleyard, Sunday Times
By the author of the modern classic "The Black Swan," this
collection of aphorisms and meditations expresses his major ideas
in ways you least expect.
"The Bed of Procrustes" takes its title from Greek mythology: the
story of a man who made his visitors fit his bed to perfection by
either stretching them or cutting their limbs. It represents
Taleb's view of modern civilization's hubristic side
effects--modifying humans to satisfy technology, blaming reality
for not fitting economic models, inventing diseases to sell drugs,
defining intelligence as what can be tested in a classroom, and
convincing people that employment is not slavery.
Playful and irreverent, these aphorisms will surprise you by
exposing self-delusions you have been living with but never
recognized.
With a rare combination of pointed wit and potent wisdom, Taleb
plows through human illusions, contrasting the classical values of
courage, elegance, and erudition against the modern diseases of
nerdiness, philistinism, and phoniness.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of "The Black Swan"
and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive
in an uncertain world.
Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and
tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to
repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder,
volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls
"antifragile" is that category of things that not only gain from
chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish.
In "The Black Swan, "Taleb showed us that highly improbable and
unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In
"Antifragile, " Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it
desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an
antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or
robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the
antifragile gets better and better.
Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and
protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than
the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call
"efficient" not efficient at all? Why do government responses and
social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should
you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job?
How did the sinking of the "Titanic" save lives? The book spans
innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban
planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine.
And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of
Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman,
Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear.
"Antifragile" is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world.
Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb's message is
revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make
it.
Praise for "Antifragile"
"Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining."--"The
Economist"
"A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty,
randomness, and error . . . It may just change our
lives."--"Newsweek"
" "
"Revelatory . . . Taleb] pulls the reader along with the logic of
a Socrates."--"Chicago Tribune"
"Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine
phrases and intriguing asides . . . I will have to read it again.
And again."--Matt Ridley, "The Wall Street Journal"
"Trenchant and persuasive . . . Taleb's insatiable polymathic
curiosity knows no bounds. . . . You finish the book feeling braver
and uplifted."--"New Statesman"
"Antifragility isn't just sound economic and political doctrine.
It's also the key to a good life."--"Fortune"
" "
"At once thought-provoking and brilliant.""--Los Angeles Times"
"From the Hardcover edition."
The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop
trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street
Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all
forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or
read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random
events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world
disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet
after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a
bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he
said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person'
Will Self, Independent on Sunday 'He leaps like some superhero of
the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal
characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact;
and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear
less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing
success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim
Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our
world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal
lives.
Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after
they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans
are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on
generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and
time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We
are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too
vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and
not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the
"impossible."
For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we
know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the
irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to
surprise us and shape our world. Now, in this revelatory book,
Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know. He
offers surprisingly simple tricks for dealing with black swans and
benefiting from them.
Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications "The Black
Swan" will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly
entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to
tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from
cognitive science to business to probability theory. "The Black
Swan" is a landmark book-itself a black swan.
"From the Hardcover edition."
A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal
characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact;
and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear
less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing
success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim
Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our
world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal
lives.
Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after
they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans
are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on
generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and
time again fail to take into consideration what we don't know. We
are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too
vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and
not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the
"impossible."
For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we
know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the
irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to
surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb
explains everything we know about what we don't know, and this
second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay,
"On Robustness and Fragility," which offers tools to navigate and
exploit a Black Swan world.
Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, "The Black
Swan" will change the way you look at the world. Taleb is a vastly
entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to
tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from
cognitive science to business to probability theory. "The Black
Swan" is a landmark book--itself a black swan.
Praise for Nassim Nicholas Taleb
"The most prophetic voice of all.""--GQ"
" "
Praise for "The Black Swan"
" A book] that altered modern thinking."--"The Times" (London)
"A masterpiece."--Chris Anderson, editor in chief of "Wired,
"author of" The Long Tail"
" "
"Idiosyncratically brilliant."--Niall Ferguson, "Los Angeles
Times"
" "
""The Black Swan" changed my view of how the world works."--Daniel
Kahneman, Nobel laureate
" Taleb writes] in a style that owes as much to Stephen Colbert as
it does to Michel de Montaigne. . . . We eagerly romp with him
through the follies of confirmation bias and] narrative
fallacy.""--The Wall Street Journal"
" "
"Hugely enjoyable--compelling . . . easy to dip into."--"Financial
Times"
" "
"Engaging . . . "The Black Swan" has appealing cheek and admirable
ambition.""--The New York Times Book Review"
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the bestselling author of "The Black Swan"
and one of the foremost thinkers of our time, reveals how to thrive
in an uncertain world.
Just as human bones get stronger when subjected to stress and
tension, and rumors or riots intensify when someone tries to
repress them, many things in life benefit from stress, disorder,
volatility, and turmoil. What Taleb has identified and calls
"antifragile" is that category of things that not only gain from
chaos but need it in order to survive and flourish.
In "The Black Swan, "Taleb showed us that highly improbable and
unpredictable events underlie almost everything about our world. In
"Antifragile, " Taleb stands uncertainty on its head, making it
desirable, even necessary, and proposes that things be built in an
antifragile manner. The antifragile is beyond the resilient or
robust. The resilient resists shocks and stays the same; the
antifragile gets better and better.
Furthermore, the antifragile is immune to prediction errors and
protected from adverse events. Why is the city-state better than
the nation-state, why is debt bad for you, and why is what we call
"efficient" not efficient at all? Why do government responses and
social policies protect the strong and hurt the weak? Why should
you write your resignation letter before even starting on the job?
How did the sinking of the "Titanic" save lives? The book spans
innovation by trial and error, life decisions, politics, urban
planning, war, personal finance, economic systems, and medicine.
And throughout, in addition to the street wisdom of Fat Tony of
Brooklyn, the voices and recipes of ancient wisdom, from Roman,
Greek, Semitic, and medieval sources, are loud and clear.
"Antifragile" is a blueprint for living in a Black Swan world.
Erudite, witty, and iconoclastic, Taleb's message is
revolutionary: The antifragile, and only the antifragile, will make
it.
Praise for "Antifragile"
"Ambitious and thought-provoking . . . highly entertaining."--"The
Economist"
"A bold book explaining how and why we should embrace uncertainty,
randomness, and error . . . It may just change our
lives."--"Newsweek"
" "
"Revelatory . . . Taleb] pulls the reader along with the logic of
a Socrates."--"Chicago Tribune"
"Startling . . . richly crammed with insights, stories, fine
phrases and intriguing asides . . . I will have to read it again.
And again."--Matt Ridley, "The Wall Street Journal"
"Trenchant and persuasive . . . Taleb's insatiable polymathic
curiosity knows no bounds. . . . You finish the book feeling braver
and uplifted."--"New Statesman"
"Antifragility isn't just sound economic and political doctrine.
It's also the key to a good life."--"Fortune"
" "
"At once thought-provoking and brilliant.""--Los Angeles Times"
A condensed guide to life, Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Bed of
Procrustes is an invaluable collection of aphorisms to help you
navigate the modern world. Second edition, revised and expanded Why
are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In
this brilliant book Nassim Nicholas Taleb distils his idiosyncratic
wisdom to demolish our illusions, contrasting the classical values
of courage, elegance and erudition against modern philistinism and
phoniness. Only by accepting what we don't know, he shows, can we
see the world as it really is.
Now in a striking new hardcover edition, Fooled by Randomness is
the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think
about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb-veteran trader,
renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and
New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan-has written a
modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck
and skill.
This book is about luck-or more precisely, about how we perceive
and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop
of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for
skill-the world of trading-"Fooled by Randomness" provides
captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all
our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author
tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of
the influence of happenstance on our lives.
The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom
have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the
baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl
Popper; the ancient world's wisest man, Solon; the modern financier
George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the
fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in
his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious
foolishness.
However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed-the
lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right
time-he embodies the "survival of the least fit." Such individuals
attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and
methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance.
Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the
genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent
messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves
against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading
"Fooled by Randomness" we can be a little better prepared.
PRAISE FOR "FOOLED BY RANDOMNESS":
Named by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time
A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year
"["Fooled by Randomness"] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom
approximately what Martin Luther's ninety-five theses were to the
Catholic Church."
-Malcolm Gladwell, author of "Blink"
"The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand grenade."
-Maggie Mahar, author of "Bull! A History of the Boom, 1982--1999"
"Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you."
-Peter L. Bernstein, author of "Capital Ideas Evolving"
"Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . .
and Stephen Jay Gould."
-Michael Schrage, author of "Serious Play: How the World's Best
Companies Simulate to Innovate"
"We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly
independent-minded."
-Robert J. Shiller, author of "Irrational Exuberance "
"Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights [and] extreme
brilliance."
"-National Review"
"If asked to name the five best books written about markets,
"Fooled by Randomness" would be on my list."
-Jack D. Schwager, author of "Market Wizards: Interviews with Top
Traders"
"Excellent and thought-provoking . . . an entertaining book."
"-Financial Times"
'A classic' - Simon Kuper, Financial Times
'This is brilliant' - James O'Brien, author of How to be Right
The five laws that confirm our worst fears: stupid people can and do
rule the world.
Since time immemorial, a powerful dark force has hindered the growth of
human welfare and happiness. It is more powerful than the Mafia or the
military. It has global catastrophic effects and can be found anywhere
from the world’s most powerful boardrooms to your local pub. This is
the immensely powerful force of human stupidity.
Seeing the shambolic state of human affairs, and sensing the dark force
at work behind it, Carlo M. Cipolla, the late, noted professor of
economic history at the University of California, Berkeley, created a
vitally important economic model that would allow us to detect, know
and neutralise this threat: The Basic Laws of Human Stupidity.
If you've ever found yourself despairing at the ubiquity of stupidity
among even the most 'intellectual' of people, then this hilarious,
timely and slightly alarming little book is for you. Arm yourself in
the face of baffling political realities, unreasonable colleagues or
the unbridled misery of dinner with the in-laws with the first and only
economic model for stupidity.
Believe it or not, our DNA is almost exactly the same as that of
our ancestors. While scientific advances in agriculture, medicine,
and technology have protected man, to some degree, from dangers
such as starvation, illness, and exposure, the fact remains that
our cave-dwelling cousins were considerably healthier than we are.
Our paleolithic ancestors did not suffer from heart disease,
diabetes, high blood pressure, or obesity. In fact, a good deal of
what we view as normal aging is a modern condition that is more
akin to disease than any natural state of growing older.
Our predecessors were incomparably better nourished than we are,
and were incredibly physically fit. And certainly none of them ever
craved a doughnut, let alone tasted one. In fact, the human
preference for sweet tastes and fatty textures was developed in an
environment where such treats were rare, and signaled dense, useful
energy. This once-helpful adaptation is the downfall of many a
dieter today. It's what makes it hard to resist fats and sweets,
especially when they are all around us.
We are not living as we were built to live. Our genes were forged
in an environment where activity was mandatory--you were active or
you starved or were eaten. This created strong selective pressure
for genes encoding a smart, physically adept individual capable of
very high activity levels. Humans are among the most active of
species, and we carry energetically expensive brains to boot. Our
energy expenditures rank high among all animals. At least they once
did. "" "The New Evolution Diet" is a roadmap back to the better
health our ancestors once enjoyed. By eliminating modern foods,
including carbohydrates, dairy, and all processed foods from our
diets, we can undo much of the damage caused by our modern food
environment. The plan is based on three simple principles:
1. Enjoy the pleasure of food and do not count or restrict
calories. Eat three satisfying meals a day filled with non-starchy
vegetables, fruits, and high-quality, lean proteins
2. Do not starve yourself, but do go hungry episodically, for brief
periods, to promote a low fasting blood insulin level and increase
metabolic fat-burning.
3. Exercise less, not more, but with more playfulness and
intensity. The goal is to create a strong body with a high resting
metabolism and a large physiologic capacity to move through life
easily--not to burn calories.
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