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Warfare quintessentially comprises Firepower and Manoeuvre. Terrain
and the nuclear overhang restrict manoeuvre in our theatre of
operations.The constituents of Firepower are platforms with
ammunition, which can deliver from five dimensions; Land, Air,
Surface of the sea, below the surface of the sea and possibly in
times to come Outer Space. These are Small Arms, Guns, Mortars,
Rockets of Artillery, Tanks, Aircrafts, Missiles, Unmanned Combat
Aerial Vehicles (UCAVs), Armed Helicopters, Submarines and in
future possibly stations in Outer Space. The ammunition which is
the payload is the most important element of Firepower. Combination
of platforms with ammunition results in devastating Firepower which
paves the way for victory. The constituents enable us in a full
spectrum conflict to undertake net centric operations. The
conflicts visualised could be Land operations in a Counter
Insurgency situation against non state actors, Air Land operations
in a counter insurgency operation or a conventional conflict, Air
operations for Counter Air, Air Defence, Sea operations for sea
control or denial, Sea Land operations to undertake Amphibious
operations, Air Sea operations between two opposing naval task
forces and possibly by 2030 operations involving Outer Space. In
these conflicts victory would be attained by ensuring Asymmetries
of Firepower.
The book deals with the future of land warfare on the Indian
subcontinent. To predict the future is extremely difficult
particularly in the field of Warfare. This is due to the fact that
wars are impacted by doctrine, technology and people. Also, the
introduction of nuclear weapons has made war less frequent and
reduced the duration. There are trends which keep changing with the
passage of time. Conflicts in the 21st century are short and swift
with a combination of effects. Further aspirations of leaders often
point towards different military objectives. In such a scenario we
could plan at best for a decade and maybe visualise for about 15
years. By and large wars of the future will be conventional, hybrid
and would be interstate or with non-state actors. The causes could
be territorial or related to historical differences, ideological
biases, economic disparity, security and water distribution.
Further issues could exacerbate due to impact of climate change,
higher rate of population growth of minorities and sectarian or
ethnic extremism. The future wars are likely to follow three types.
It could be overt, covert and finally outsourced. The future battle
space as visualised in the next 15 years would have characteristics
which would make it non linear in time and space. Unlike wars of
the past they would be swift and would be based on speed. Targets
would need to be precisely engaged to avoid collateral damage.
Operations would demand jointness between the three services.
Further they would be continuous with no pauses. They could be
termed as 24x7 operations. In these operations connectivity would
play an important part and communications would be available to
soldiers, commanders and autonomous weapon systems and vehicles.
There would be a need for synergy between air, sea, and outer space
while undertaking land warfare. Perception management becomes
extremely important as this alone would lead to an effective
reorganisation of people. Finally technology would play an
important role particularly, the application of artificial
intelligence.
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