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Oil is an unusual commodity in that individual decisions can have
an outsized effect on the market. OPEC+'s choice to increase
production, for instance, might send prices falling, affecting both
oil producers and consumers worldwide. What do the leading oil
market players consider before making a fateful move? Oil Leaders
offers an unprecedented glimpse into the strategic thinking of top
figures in the energy world from the 1980s through the recent past.
Ibrahim AlMuhanna-a close adviser to four different Saudi oil
ministers during that period-examines the role of individual and
collective decision making in shaping market movements. He analyzes
how powerful individuals made critical choices, tracking how they
responded to the flow of information on pivotal market and
political events and predicted reactions from allies and
adversaries. AlMuhanna highlights how the media has played an
increasingly important role as a conduit of information among
multiple players in the oil market. Energy leaders have learned to
manage the signals they send to the market and to other relevant
players in order to avoid sending oil prices into a spiral.
AlMuhanna draws on personal familiarity with many of these
individual decision makers as well as his participation in decades
of closed-door sessions where crucial choices were made. Featuring
revelatory behind-the-scenes perspective on pivotal oil market
events and dynamics, this book is a must-read for practitioners and
policy makers engaged with the global energy world.
As OPEC has loosened its grip over the past ten years, the oil
market has been rocked by wild price swings, the likes of which
haven't been seen for eight decades. Crafting an engrossing journey
from the gushing Pennsylvania oil fields of the 1860s to today's
fraught and fractious Middle East, Crude Volatility explains how
past periods of stability and volatility in oil prices help us
understand the new boom-bust era. Oil's notorious volatility has
always been considered a scourge afflicting not only the oil
industry but also the broader economy and geopolitical landscape;
Robert McNally makes sense of how oil became so central to our
world and why it is subject to such extreme price fluctuations.
Tracing a history marked by conflict, intrigue, and extreme
uncertainty, McNally shows how-even from the oil industry's first
years-wild and harmful price volatility prompted industry leaders
and officials to undertake extraordinary efforts to stabilize oil
prices by controlling production. Herculean market
interventions-first, by Rockefeller's Standard Oil, then, by U.S.
state regulators in partnership with major international oil
companies, and, finally, by OPEC-succeeded to varying degrees in
taming the beast. McNally, a veteran oil market and policy expert,
explains the consequences of the ebbing of OPEC's power, debunking
myths and offering recommendations-including mistakes to avoid-as
we confront the unwelcome return of boom and bust oil prices.
The author's first volume in the trilogy tells about his early
youth starting with the Great Depression till the end of WWII.
Volume II begins when he was thirteen and still in pursuit of what
he loved best, youthful romances and wild adventures. Before
reaching eighteen he'd had his fifteen minutes of fame, but not
before encountering a variety of characters with switchblades,
fists and loaded revolvers. Helping a couple of runaways put the
author in harm's way, but even worse was an encounter with Sister
Superior which eventually led him to becoming an escape artist. He
was caught up with gang wars, love affairs and a striptease card
game that could knock your socks off. After eleven years in grammar
school the author finally graduated. He liked to physically show
off, even to the point of hanging from tall tree branches by his
toes. One Halloween evening he came up with a preposterous scheme
that got so out of hand it took six police officers to hunt him
down. His adventures were often dangerous but he always had the
readiness to dare. Although his school life was disturbing, he had
the patience to go the distance. More troubling was his love life.
He always wound up disappointed, but while missing each girl he had
the good fortune to believe that time was on his side.
This is the memoir of a modern day Huckleberry Finn who delighted
in youthful romances and wild adventures. My earliest memories are
about living on top of a hill next to a crematory and across the
street from a cemetery during the Great Depression. The only people
I saw in the immediate area were the members of my family and Mrs.
Wagner, who lived in the only other house on the hill. A few times
a day I saw and spoke with the crematory workers, as well as the
bereaved who attended their loved ones' funerals. Occasionally I
witnessed the wanderings of Gypsies, beggars and hobos. Down from
the hill was my only playmate, Rosemary. For a two and three year
old, the hill was a fun-filled place to explore during the daylight
hours, but the evenings were different. When my father went out to
bar hop, it became so quiet that all we could hear were automobiles
driving by. Some cars slowed to a stop. My mother would say,
"Someone is out there snooping around." It was a time when the
cemetery held its dead while we held each other. Although the
nights were often frightening, I loved the place and my girlfriend,
Mary. However, in the spring of 1936 we had to leave our home so
the crematory could replace it with a chapel. After moving I still
longed to live on the hill. We soon relocated again, but farther
away. In January 1938 at the age of six, I heard the good news that
we were going home. It wasn't that we were moving back to the hill,
but to a place I loved even more, Bridgeport, Connecticut. Here is
where I was born, my Grandmother lived and what my family called
home. I thought the town and our living space were in the country,
not the city, and best of all, we were situated across the street
from the county jail. The well behaved inmates were made trustees
on Sunday mornings and given chores to do on our side of the wall.
I always went out to greet them and for the sixteen months we lived
there, they were among my best friends. When my grandmother died,
we moved to Ridgewood, New York. I wanted to live in the country,
but at the age of six I was not given a say in the matter so it was
city life for me. However, by age ten my wish to live in the
country became something of a reality when I discovered a nearby
railroad and a field of rugged terrain. We kids hopped moving
freight cars for short and long distances. In the field we captured
garter snakes. Before long we discovered another attractive
nuisance, a fenced in trolley yard. The barbed wire fence could not
keep us out. We hooked up the trolley cars to the overhead
electrical wires and with that power we drove them back and forth
in the yard to our hearts content. Before I reached eleven I had
fallen in love with four girls. Before thirteen I had dated two
others, but something was lacking. Kisses. It turns out that's
pretty much all I was seeking in this life. School was not a good
substitute for this desire, especially because of the beatings the
teachers gave me. The bullies didn't bother me since I could see
right through these weaklings and they knew it. They stayed clear
of me. On the other hand, I had to watch out for knife wielding and
hatchet throwing "crazies." World War II put fear into most
everyone, but it also brought us kids some fun. Air raid drills and
blackouts were exciting, as was tracking down Nazi spies. My sister
Judy and I discovered one living in our apartment building. Before
long spies were popping up all over Ridgewood. I believe I have
many interesting stories to tell about the 1930's and 40's. This
first of three memoirs will take the reader on a journey that for
me was dangerous, exciting, humorous and worthwhile. For instance,
one evening when I had just turned thirteen we built a fire. The
next day we returned to it, and came upon a terrible and startling
find. Let me take you on my dangerous journey.
As OPEC has loosened its grip over the past ten years, the oil
market has been rocked by wild price swings, the likes of which
haven't been seen for eight decades. Crafting an engrossing journey
from the gushing Pennsylvania oil fields of the 1860s to today's
fraught and fractious Middle East, Crude Volatility explains how
past periods of stability and volatility in oil prices help us
understand the new boom-bust era. Oil's notorious volatility has
always been considered a scourge afflicting not only the oil
industry but also the broader economy and geopolitical landscape;
Robert McNally makes sense of how oil became so central to our
world and why it is subject to such extreme price fluctuations.
Tracing a history marked by conflict, intrigue, and extreme
uncertainty, McNally shows how-even from the oil industry's first
years-wild and harmful price volatility prompted industry leaders
and officials to undertake extraordinary efforts to stabilize oil
prices by controlling production. Herculean market
interventions-first, by Rockefeller's Standard Oil, then, by U.S.
state regulators in partnership with major international oil
companies, and, finally, by OPEC-succeeded to varying degrees in
taming the beast. McNally, a veteran oil market and policy expert,
explains the consequences of the ebbing of OPEC's power, debunking
myths and offering recommendations-including mistakes to avoid-as
we confront the unwelcome return of boom and bust oil prices.
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