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"At the moment, the revision of security policy and the formation
of a new consensus to support it are still at an early stage of
development. The idea of comprehensive security cooperation among
the major military establishments to form an inclusive
international security arrangement has been only barely
acknowledged and is only partially developed. The basic principle
of cooperation has been proclaimed in general terms in the Paris
Charter issued in November of 1990. Important implementing
provisions have been embodied in the Strategic Arms Reductions
Talks (START), Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE), and
Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) treaties. Except for the
regulation of U.S. and Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS)
strategic forces, however, these arrangements apply only to the
European theater and even there have not been systematically
developed. The formation of a new security order requires that
cooperative theaters of military engagement be systematically
developed. Clearly that exercise will stretch the minds of all
those whose thinking about security has been premised on
confrontational methods. Nonetheless, such a stretching is
unavoidable. The new security problems are driven by powerful
forces, reshaping the entire international context. They impose
starkly different requirements. They will deflect even the
impressive momentum of U.S. military traditions. The eventual
outcome is uncertain. It turns upon political debates yet to be
held, consensus judgements yet to form, and events and their
implications yet to unfold. Fundamental reconceptualization of
security policy is a necessary step in the right direction, and it
is important to get on with it. Getting on with it means defining
the new concept of cooperative security, identifying the trends
that motivate it, outlining its implications for practical policy
action, and acknowledging its constraints. These tasks are the
purpose of this essay. "
What role should nuclear weapons play in today's world? How can the
United States promote international security while safeguarding its
own interests? U.S. Nuclear Weapons Policy informs this debate with
an analysis of current nuclear weapons policies and strategies,
including those for deterring, preventing, or preempting nuclear
attack; preventing further proliferation, to nations and
terrorists; modifying weapons designs; and revising the U.S.
nuclear posture. Presidents Bush and Clinton made major changes in
U.S. policy after the Cold War, and George W. Bush's administration
made further, more radical changes after 9/11. Leaked portions of
2001's Nuclear Posture Review, for example, described more
aggressive possible uses for nuclear weapons. This important volume
examines the significance of such changes and suggests a way
forward for U.S. policy, emphasizing stronger security of nuclear
weapons and materials, international compliance with
nonproliferation obligations, attention to the demand side of
proliferation, and reduced reliance on nuclear weapons in U.S.
foreign policy.
"William J. Perry and Ashton B. Carter, two of the world's foremost
defense authorities, draw on their experience as leaders of the
U.S. Defense Department to propose a new American security strategy
for the twenty-first century. After a century in which aggression
had to be defeated in two world wars and then deterred through a
prolonged cold war, the authors argue for a strategy centered on
prevention. Now that the cold war is over, it is necessary to
rethink the risks to U.S. security. The A list--threats to U.S.
survival--is empty today. The B list--the two major regional
contingencies in the Persian Gulf and on the Korean peninsula that
dominate Pentagon planning and budgeting--pose imminent threats to
U.S. interests but not to survival. And the C list--such
headline-grabbing places as Kosovo, Bosnia, Somalia, Rwanda, and
Haiti--includes important contingencies that indirectly affect U.S.
security but do not directly threaten U.S. interests. Thus the
United States is enjoying a period of unprecedented peace and
influence; but foreign policy and defense leaders cannot afford to
be complacent. The authors' preventive defense strategy
concentrates on the dangers that, if mismanaged, have the potential
to grow into true A-list threats to U.S. survival in the next
century. These include Weimar Russia: failure to establish a
self-respecting place for the new Russia in the post-cold war
world, allowing it to descend into chaos, isolation, and aggression
as Germany did after World War I; Loose Nukes: failure to reduce
and secure the deadly legacy of the cold war--nuclear, chemical,
and biological weapons in Russia and the rest of the former Soviet
Union; A Rising China Turned Hostile: failure to shape China's rise
to Asian superpower status so that it emerges as a partner rather
than an adversary; Proliferation: spread of weapons of mass
destruction; and Catastrophic Terrorism: increase in the scope and
intensity of transnational terrorism.They also argue for better
management of the defense establishment so the United States will
retain a strong military prepared to cope with all contingencies,
deter aggressors, and win a conflict if deterrence fails. "
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