The most salient feature of security returns is uncertainty. The purpose of the book is to provide systematically a quantitative method for analyzing return and risk of a portfolio investment in di?erent kinds of uncertainty and present the ways for striking a balance between investment return and risk such that an optimal portfolio can be obtained. In classical portfolio theory, security returns were assumed to be random variables, and probability theory was the main mathematical tool for h- dling uncertainty in the past. However, the world is complex and uncertainty is varied. Randomnessis nottheonly typeofuncertaintyinreality, especially when human factors are included. Security market, one of the most complex marketsintheworld, containsalmostallkindsofuncertainty. Thesecurity- turns are sensitive to various factors including economic, social, political and very importantly, people's psychological factors. Therefore, other than strict probability method, scholars have proposed some other approaches including imprecise probability, possibility, and interval set methods, etc., to deal with uncertaintyinportfolioselectionsince1990's. Inthisbook, wewantto addto thetools existingin sciencesomenewandunorthodoxapproachesforanal- ing uncertainty of portfolio returns. When security returns are fuzzy, we use credibility which has self-duality property as the basic measure and employ credibilitytheorytohelpmakeselectiondecisionsuchthatthedecisionresult will be consistent with the laws of contradiction and excluded middle. Being awarethat one tool is not enough for solving complex practical problems, we further employ uncertain measure and uncertainty theory to help select an optimal portfolio when security returns behave neither randomly nor fuzzily. One core of portfolio selection is to ?nd a quantitative risk de?nition of a portfolio investment.

Why do stock and housing markets sometimes experience amazing booms followed by massive busts and why is this happening more and more frequently? In order to answer these questions, William Quinn and John D. Turner take us on a riveting ride through the history of financial bubbles, visiting, among other places, Paris and London in 1720, Latin America in the 1820s, Melbourne in the 1880s, New York in the 1920s, Tokyo in the 1980s, Silicon Valley in the 1990s and Shanghai in the 2000s. As they do so, they help us understand why bubbles happen, and why some have catastrophic economic, social and political consequences whilst others have actually benefited society. They reveal that bubbles start when investors and speculators react to new technology or political initiatives, showing that our ability to predict future bubbles will ultimately come down to being able to predict these sparks.

Both quantitative and qualitative analysis is used to review China's stock market in a book containing the latest research on China's IPO market, the 2006-07 market bubble, the development of institutional investors, the stock index futures market, stock sector performance, corporate governance of listed firms and China's growth enterprise market.

This book comprises an edited series of papers about risk management and the latest developments in the field. Covering topics such as Stochastic Volatility, Risk Dynamics, Weather Derivatives and Portfolio Diversification, this book will have broad international appeal. It is highly relevany for optimal portfolio allocation for both private and institutional investors worldwide.

An approachable guide to sustainable options trading, minimal luck needed. Traders who are successful long-term do not rely on luck, but rather their ability to adapt, strategize, and utilize available tools and information. Modern markets are becoming increasingly accessible to the average consumer, and the emergence of retail options trading is opening a world of opportunities for the individual investor. Options are highly versatile and complex financial instruments that were exclusive to industry professionals until recently. So where should beginners start? The Unlucky Investor's Guide to Options Trading breaks down the science of options trading to suit interested traders from any background. Using statistics and historical options data, readers will develop an intuitive understanding of the potential risks and rewards of options contracts. From the basics of options trading to strategy construction and portfolio management, The Unlucky Investor's Guide to Options Trading guides readers through the world of options and teaches the crucial risk management techniques for sustainable investing.

Earn predictable returns, hedge against inflation, and get cash payouts with dividend investing.

Investing In Dividends For Dummies gives you detailed information and the expert advice you need to successfully add dividends to your investment portfolio. In a time of market volatility, dividends are safe bets. They’re also a great choice for investors looking to supplement retirement income. This book offers clear explanations and tips to help you make careful and informed decisions about dividend stocks and their place in your portfolio. You’ll learn how to research and invest in dividend-paying companies, choosing among traditional share purchases, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), or Dividend Reinvestment Plans (DRIPs). You’ll also get ideas for increasing your dividend investments over time.

With this Dummies investing guide, the check’s in the mail!

• Understand dividend stocks and develop a smart strategy for adding them to your portfolio
• Find out what to look for when researching dividend-paying companies
• Calculate the risk, growth potential, and return potential for your selected investments
• Decide whether and how to reinvest your dividend payouts to grow your portfolio

Investing In Dividends For Dummies is perfect for investors looking to find a stable and predictable way to earn income from their investments.

Praise For Damn Right!

From the author of the bestselling WARREN BUFFETT SPEAKS

"Charlie Munger, whose reputation is deep and wide, based on an extraordinary record of brilliantly successful business strategies, sees things that others don’t. There is a method to his mastery and, through this book, we get a chance to learn about this rare individual."
——MICHAEL EISNER, Chairman and CEO, The Walt Disney Company

"Janet Lowe uncovers the iconoclastic genius and subtle charm behind Charlie Munger’s curmudgeonly facade in this richly woven portrait of our era’s heir to Ben Franklin. With a biographer’s detachment, an historian’s thoroughness, and a financial writer’s common sense, Lowe produces a riveting account of the family, personal, and business life of this idiosyncratically complex and endlessly fascinating figure."
——LAWRENCE A. CUNNINGHAM, Cardozo Law School
Author of The Essays of Warren Buffett: Lessons for Corporate America

"For years, Berkshire Hathaway shareholders and investors worldwide (me included) have struggled to learn more about Warren Buffett’s cerebral sidekick. Now we can rest and enjoy reading Janet Lowe’s book about this rare intellectual jewel called Charlie Munger."
——ROBERT G. HAGSTROM, Author of The Warren Buffett Way

"Janet Lowe’s unprecedented access to Charlie Munger and Warren Buffett has resulted in a first-class book that investors, academics, and CEOs will find entertaining and highly useful."
——TIMOTHY P. VICK
Money Manager and Author of How to Pick Stocks Like Warren Buffett

A History Today Book of the Year A world-renowned astronomer and an esteemed science writer make the provocative argument for space exploration without astronauts. Human journeys into space fill us with wonder. But the thrill of space travel for astronauts comes at enormous expense and is fraught with peril. As our robot explorers grow more competent, governments and corporations must ask, does our desire to send astronauts to the Moon and Mars justify the cost and danger? Donald Goldsmith and Martin Rees believe that beyond low-Earth orbit, space exploration should proceed without humans. In The End of Astronauts, Goldsmith and Rees weigh the benefits and risks of human exploration across the solar system. In space humans require air, food, and water, along with protection from potentially deadly radiation and high-energy particles, at a cost of more than ten times that of robotic exploration. Meanwhile, automated explorers have demonstrated the ability to investigate planetary surfaces efficiently and effectively, operating autonomously or under direction from Earth. Although Goldsmith and Rees are alert to the limits of artificial intelligence, they know that our robots steadily improve, while our bodies do not. Today a robot cannot equal a geologist's expertise, but by the time we land a geologist on Mars, this advantage will diminish significantly. Decades of research and experience, together with interviews with scientific authorities and former astronauts, offer convincing arguments that robots represent the future of space exploration. The End of Astronauts also examines how spacefaring AI might be regulated as corporations race to privatize the stars. We may eventually decide that humans belong in space despite the dangers and expense, but their paths will follow routes set by robots.

In an economy that's more unpredictable than ever-the proven method for avoiding emotional mistakes that can wreak havoc on your portfolio returns Applying powerful behavioral finance concepts, Stop. Think. Invest. provides a framework for identifying personal biases and avoiding mistakes that can cost them big profits. Based on the author's extensive research and 100 key behavioral finance concepts, this guide provides a winning 12-step process you can use to successfully manage your trading and investing for long-term success, including: Begin the Initial Research into a New Stock Create an Investment Thesis: Why Are You Buying the Stock? Trade Timing and Size: When Are You Buying and How Much? Make the Initial Purchase Review of Trade: Round Up or Round Down Test Your Original Investment Thesis Stop. Think. Invest. reveals important information about behavioral finance flaws, such as anchoring, confirmation bias, recency bias, and loss aversion. Unlike other such investing guides, Stop. Think. Invest. offers a fully organized and practical approach to applying behavioral finance to everyday investing.

This book takes an interdisciplinary approach, linking the law and policy surrounding financial markets regulation in order to fill the gap in the analysis and understanding of the most salient issues related to the role of credit rating agencies (CRAs). Key features include: A critical appraisal of the ratings information system and the potential risks of disclosure failure Questioning how regulators can shape a proper responsibility for CRAs in the aftermath of the EU civil liability regime for rating agencies introduced by the CRA Regulation 2013 and the professional liability introduced by the US Dodd-Frank Act 2010 Assessment of CRAs' liability regimes in light of the recent developments in case law Analysis of the major weaknesses in legislative reforms adopted in the United States, the United Kingdom and the European Union, and suggestions for enhancing the current regulatory system of CRAs. The Governance of Credit Rating Agencies will be a valuable resource for those researching law and economic aspects of securities markets. Professionals in law firms with banking or financial services regulation practice, global rating firms, commercial banks, investment banks, international financial institutions and prudential regulatory agencies will also find this book an essential point of reference.

Drive profit and manage risk with expert guidance on trade processing The Trade Lifecycle catalogues and details the various types of trades, including the inherent cashflows and risk exposures of each. Now in its second edition, this comprehensive guide includes major new coverage of traded products, credit valuation adjustment, regulation, and the role of information technology. By reading this, you'll dissect a trade into its component parts, track it from preconception to maturity, and learn how it affects each business function of a financial institution. You will become familiar with the full extent of legal, operational, liquidity, credit, and market risks to which it is exposed. Case studies of real projects cover topics like FX exotics, commodity counterparty risk, equity settlement, bond management, and global derivatives initiatives, while the companion website features additional video training on specific topics to help you build a strong background in this fundamental aspect of finance. Trade processing and settlement combined with control of risk has been thrust into the limelight with the recent near collapse of the global financial market. This book provides thorough, practical guidance toward processing the trade, and the risks and rewards it entails. * Gain deep insight into emerging subject areas * Understand each step of the trade process * Examine the individual components of a trade * Learn how each trade affects everything it touches Every person working in a bank is highly connected to the lifecycle of a trade. It is the glue by which all departments are bound, and the aggregated success or failure of each trade determines the entire organization's survival. The Trade Lifecycle explains the fundamentals of trade processing and gives you the knowledge you need to further your success in the market.

This book takes a theoretical and practical look at some of the latest and most important ideas behind derivatives pricing models. In each chapter the author highlights the latest thinking and trends in the area. A wide range of topics is covered, including valuation methods on stocks paying discrete dividend, Asian options, American barrier options, Complex barrier options, reset options, and electricity derivatives. The book also discusses the latest ideas surrounding finance like the robustness of dynamic delta hedging, option hedging, negative probabilities and space-time finance.

The accompanying CD with additional Excel sheets includes the mathematical models covered in the book.

The book also includes interviews with some of the world's top names in the industry, and an insight into the history behind some of the greatest discoveries in quantitative finance. Interviewees include:

Nassim Taleb on Black Swans

Edward Thorp on Gambling and Trading

Alan Lewis on Stochastic Volatility and Jumps

Emanuel Derman, the Wall Street Quant

Peter Carr, the Wall Street Wizard of Option Symmetry and Volatility

Clive Granger, Nobel Prize winner in Economics 2003, on Cointegration

Stephen Ross on Arbitrage Pricing Theory

Bruno Dupire on Local and Stochastic Volatility Models

Eduardo Schwartz the Yoga Master of Quantitative Finance

Aaron Brown on Gambling, Poker and Trading

Knut Aase on Catastrophes and Financial Economics

Elie Ayache on Modeling

Paul Wilmott on Paul Wilmott

Andrei Khrennikov on Negative Probabilities

David Bates on Crash and Jumps

Peter Jackel on Monte Carlo Simulation

This significant new book addresses the important issue of diversification in an age where it is vital to reduce volatility on investments. Properly applied portfolio management can lead to greater gains. The expert authors guide investors through international portfolio diversification, make clear how to help improve the efficiency of their investments, and explain how international diversification reduces the risk of an investment portfolio. This key book educates investors about how international mutual finds enhance the performance of their portfolio. The authors analyze which factors are most essential to investors, and find that both financial factors and behavioural arguments must be considered. This book is a crucial tool for any investor looking to improve the profit gain from their investment.

The digital transformation of finance and banking enables traditional services to be delivered in a more effective and efficient way but, at the same time, presents crucial issues such as fast growing new asset classes, new currencies, datafication and data privacy, algorithmization of law and regulation and, last but not least, new models of financial crime. This book approaches the evolution of digital finance from a business perspective and in a holistic way, providing cutting-edge knowledge of how the digital financial system works in its three main domains: banking, insurance and capital markets. It offers a bird's eye view of the major issues and developments in these individual sectors. The book begins by examining the wider framework of the subsequent analysis and over the next three parts, discusses the opportunities, risks and challenges facing the digitalization of these individual financial subsectors, highlighting the similarities and differences in their digitalization agenda, as well as the existing linkages and dependencies among them. The book clarifies the strategic issues facing the development of digital finance in these major subsectors over the coming years. The book has three key messages: that digital transformation changes fundamentally the way financial businesses operate; that individual trades have their own digitalization agenda; and that the State with its regulatory power and central banking and money has a particularly important role to play. It will be of interest to scholars, students and researchers of finance and banking, as well as policymakers wishing to understand the values and limitations of new forms of digital money.

An all-time bestseller, Dolf de Roos's classic "Real Estate Riches" shows you how to find great deals and make great profits in the real estate market. You?ll learn why real estate is such a reliable moneymaker and how to achieve the biggest return possible on your investment. Full of time-honored wisdom, proven tactics, and quick-and-easy tips, this book shows you how to find the best properties with the most potential, analyze deals, negotiate and submit offers, effectively manage properties, and dramatically increase the value of your real estate without spending much money. If you want to be your own boss and quit the nine-to-five life, "Real Estate Riches" shows you how.

This book provides a complete analysis of the logistic market, with a special focus on performance and risk characteristics, demand and supply, and diversification strategy. The authors offer cutting-edge research and detailed case studies from countries in Europe, evaluating the market features of the logistic sector and its differences to alternative types of real estate assets. With its comprehensive overview of the logistic market, both academics and practitioners will find this an engaging study, as well as those generally wishing to gain knowledge about investing in this segment of the real estate industry.

"This edited volume contains essential readings for financial analysts and market practitioners working at Central Banks and Sovereign Wealth Funds. It presents the reader with state-of-the-art methods that are directly implementable, and industry 'best-practices' as followed by leading institutions in their field"--Provided by publisher.

This innovative book analyses the geographical patterns in foreign direct investment flows by combining elements from the theory of international production and the theory of economic geography. It develops a model for explaining why foreign direct investment is attracted to certain locations. The book examines foreign direct investment from a spatial perspective and considers how knowledge, regional synergies, economic integration, corporate strategies and networking affect patterns of investment. Using a model, Robert Morsink derives sets of determinants for different foreign direct investment patterns of multinationals and evaluates the corporate strategy behind these flows. First, he analyses investment flows within the European Union. Then, he goes into investments originating from the United States, Japan, Germany and the Netherlands and destined for Western Europe, South and Southeast Asia and North and South America. These analyses enable him to make suggestions for government policy at both the national and international level to attract foreign investment. Foreign Direct Investment and Corporate Networking will be of interest to economists working in the areas of international trade and investment, economic geographers and corporate strategy advisors as well as to policymakers from government and non-governmental organizations.

An Empirical Investigation of Stock Markets: The CCF Approach attempts to make an empirical contribution to the literature on the movements of stock prices in major economies, i.e. Germany, Japan, the UK and the USA. Specifically, the cross-correlation function (CCF) approach is used to analyze the stock market. This volume provides some empirical evidence regarding the economic linkages among a group of different countries.

Chapter 2 and Chapter 3 analyze the international linkage of stock prices among Germany, Japan, the UK and the USA. Chapter 2 applies the standard approach, whereas Chapter 3 uses the CCF approach. Chapter 4 analyzes the relationship between stock prices and exchange rates. Chapter 5 analyzes the relationship among stock prices, exchange rates, and real economic activities. Chapter 6 summarizes the main results obtained in each chapter and comments on the possible directions of future research.