In the aftermath of the stock market crash, Irving Fisher
pointed to the electrification of the U.S. industry as one of the
underlying causes of the stock market boom. Earlier, in 1927,
Brookings Institution economists had lamented the scant attention
energy had received from economists. Today, some 60 years later,
power remains the forgotten factor input. In this book, the author
incorporates energy into the corpus of economic analysis. Unlike
previous attempts, which were mostly theoretical, this work
generates testable predictions. The result is a model of production
based on the two universal factor inputs--broadly defined energy
and broadly defined organization.
Once the model of production is developed, the book then tests
an empirical model with data from U.S., German, and Japanese
manufacturing. The results are used to reexamine the role of energy
in productivity slowdown. When the empirically and theoretically
correct model of production is used, the Solow residual disappears:
growth in manufacturing value added is fully accounted for by
growth in energy, capital, and labor.
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