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Sovereign Debt and the Financial Crisis - Will This Time Be Different? (Paperback)
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Sovereign Debt and the Financial Crisis - Will This Time Be Different? (Paperback)
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In the wake of the financial crisis of 2008, governments worldwide
undertook massive fiscal interventions to stave off what otherwise
would have likely been a system-wide financial and economic
meltdown. The policy responses engendered significant shifts in
growth trajectories and debt sustainability outlooks of both mature
and developing economies. For Low Income Countries, post-crisis
debt sustainability analyses show an average deterioration of 5-7
percentage points in the present value of public debt-to-GDP ratio
in 2009-10 compared with pre-crisis projections, and stay in the
area of 30 per cent until 2014. Among the LICs, 40 per cent face
high risk of (or are in) debt distress. In the G20 countries,
government debt-to-GDP ratios are expected reach 85 per cent by
2014. The magnitude of public liabilities incurred and the
uncertainty surrounding the exit from unprecedented discretionary
fiscal stimulus have become a major source of concern about a
future crisis. Will the current stringent financial conditions lead
to a wave of sovereign debt problems around the world? Or will
countries, given their stronger fundamentals compared with previous
crises' episodes, successfully muddle through the crisis? The
objective of the book is to present and discuss policy-relevant
research on the current debt challenges which developing, emerging
market, and developed economies face. Its value added lies in the
integrated approach of drawing on theoretical research and evidence
from practitioners' experience in developing, emerging market, and
developed countries. The study is partially funded by the Debt
Management Facility for Low-Income Countries. Contributors involve
World Bank staff, other international and multilateral
institutions, external researchers.
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