Despite the ongoing drawdown of strategic forces under the terms of
START, both the United States and Russia maintain large arsenals of
nuclear weapons poised for immediate launch. Under the most
optimistic current scenarios, these arsenals will remain very large
and launch-ready for more than a decade. This book, by a
distinguished group of coauthors, critically evaluates the current
policy of retaining and operating large nuclear arsenals. It
reviews U.S. nuclear doctrine and strategy, and the role of nuclear
weapons in deterring aggression by former Cold War adversaries and
other countries with weapons of mass destruction. The risks of
inadvertent as well as deliberate nuclear attack are assessed. The
authors argue that small arsenals (low hundreds) on low alert
satisfy all justifiable requirements for nuclear weapons. They
present a blueprint for making deep cuts in U.S. and Russian
deployments, and for lowering their alert level. They explain the
implications of shifting to small arsenals for further constraining
anti-ballistic missile defenses, strengthening verification, and
capping or reducing the nuclear arsenals of China, France, and
Britain as well as the threshold nuclear states. The political
challenges and opportunities, both domestic and international, for
achieving deep reductions in the size and readiness of nuclear
forces are analyzed by the authors and by distinguished experts
from other countries. The coauthors are Bruce Blair, Jonathan Dean,
James Goodby, Steve Fetter, Hal Feiveson, George Lewis, Janne
Nolan, Theodore Postol, and Frank von Hippel. An appendix with
international perspectives by Li Bin (China), Alexei Arbatov
(Russia), Therese Delpech (France), PervezHoodbhoy (Pakistan), Shai
Feldman (Israel), Harald Mueller (Germany), and Zia Mian and M.V.
Ramana (South Asia).
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