Emboldened by economic strength and growing military power,
China is emerging as a challenger to US dominance in the Pacific.
But its promised peaceful rise has done little to convince regional
powers that it will not use force to press longstanding territorial
claims or attempt sea-denial operations in Asia's lucrative trade
routes. Uncertainty about Beijing's intentions could thus beget a
new, unpredictable arms race as states scramble to protect their
interests. For the short term, however, governments are weighing up
the question of how far their interests may be served by
cooperating with China and trying to usher it into the role of a
responsible global power, while hedging their bets with traditional
alliances and military modernisation.
This issue analyses China's inexorable rise from peasant society to
economic powerhouse. In charting the line that Beijing has walked
in building up its forces alongside its network of trading links to
Asia and the US, it reveals the challenge that lies ahead for
policymakers: namely, to follow China's development ever more
closely, to determine whether it could come to see the costs of
military conflict as outweighing the benefits of peaceful trade and
economic growth.
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