How do we know where we are in the current stock market cycle? Are
we in the midst of a new long term bull market or a market rally
within an ongoing bear market? The answers to the above questions
are critical to forming an appropriate investment strategy to plan
for the future. The difference between anticipating the end of a
secular (or cyclical) bull market and reacting to the significant
crash that follows will have a big impact on anyone's investment
returns and retirement plans. This book is concerned with cycles. A
cycle is a sequence of events that repeat over time. The outcome
won't necessarily be the same each time, but the underlying
characteristics are the same. A good example is the seasonal cycle.
Each year we have spring, summer, autumn and winter, and after
winter we have spring again. But the weather can, and does, vary a
great deal from one year to another. And so it is with the stock
market. Kerry Balenthiran has studied stock market data going back
100 years and discovered a regular 17.6 year stock market cycle
consisting of increments of 2.2 years. He has also extrapolated the
cycle forwards to provide investors with a market roadmap
stretching out to 2053.He describes this in detail and outlines the
changing character of the stock market through the different phases
of the 17. 6 year stock market cycle. Whether you are an investment
professional or private investor, this book provides a fascinating
insight into the cyclical nature of the stock market and enables
you to ensure that you have the right strategy for the prevailing
stock market conditions.
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