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Iran, Israel, and the United States - The Politics of Counter-Proliferation Intelligence (Hardcover)
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Discovery Miles 27 020
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Iran, Israel, and the United States - The Politics of Counter-Proliferation Intelligence (Hardcover)
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This book analyzes the process of evaluating Iran's nuclear project
and the efforts to roll it back, resulting in the 2015 nuclear
agreement known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPA).
Despite its aura of scientific exactitude, nuclear intelligence is
complex and susceptible to methodological disagreements and
political bias at the international oversight level-the
International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA)-and within the countries
involved in the rollback project - Israel and the United States. To
highlight both the technological problems of assessing compliance
and the politicization, each chapter in the book uses a real-time
comparison of the nuclear developments in Iran, and the perception
of Israel and the United States. This methodology yielded some
significant results. Essentially, two camps had formed in each
country; those who were pushing for an agreement with Iran and
those who opposed it. The Israeli intelligence agencies - the
Mossad and the Military Intelligence - as well as the highly
secretive Israeli Atomic Energy Commission (IAEC) which advised
them considered the program to be weak and slow moving. The
right-wing government of Benjamin Netanyahu suggested that Iran was
steps away from the "point of no return," making it an existential
threat to Israel. A virtually identical split emerged in
Washington. While the intelligence community and the advising
scientists from the National Nuclear Laboratories, considered Iran
progress to be relatively modest, the Republicans and the Israel
lobby - the Jewish organizations and the Christian Zionists- warned
of the imminent danger of a nuclear Iran. With the Obama
administration pushing for the JCPOA, a fierce debate took place in
Congress. The Israeli intelligence and military chiefs led by the
Mossad chief Meir Dagan, which had previously blocked Netanyahu
from a preemptive action, quietly supported the agreement. In
Washington, the Israel lobby, and the Republicans, helped by
Netanyahu, mounted an all-out effort to defeat the deal in
Congress. The pro-deal coalition fought back by mobilizing the
scientific community, military and intelligence officials, the
business lobby, and grassroots Democrats. The JCPOA represents the
first successful effort of peaceful counterproliferation. At the
same, excessive politicization has clouded its legitimacy and cast
doubt about its future.
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