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The Paradox of Power Sino-American Strategic Restraint in an Age of Vulnerability (Paperback)
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The Paradox of Power Sino-American Strategic Restraint in an Age of Vulnerability (Paperback)
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Loot Price R508
Discovery Miles 5 080
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The second half of the 20th century featured a strategic
competition between the United States and the Soviet Union. That
competition avoided World War III in part because during the 1950s,
scholars like Henry Kissinger, Thomas Schelling, Herman Kahn, and
Albert Wohlstetter analyzed the fundamental nature of nuclear
deterrence. Decades of arms control negotiations reinforced these
early notions of stability and created a mutual understanding that
allowed U.S.-Soviet competition to proceed without armed conflict.
The first half of the 21st century will be dominated by the
relationship between the United States and China. That relationship
is likely to contain elements of both cooperation and competition.
Territorial disputes such as those over Taiwan and the South China
Sea will be an important feature of this competition, but both are
traditional disputes, and traditional solutions suggest themselves.
A more difficult set of issues relates to U.S.-Chinese competition
and cooperation in three domains in which real strategic harm can
be inflicted in the current era: nuclear, space, and cyber. Just as
a clearer understanding of the fundamental principles of nuclear
deterrence maintained adequate stability during the Cold War, a
clearer understanding of the characteristics of these three domains
can provide the underpinnings of strategic stability between the
United States and China in the decades ahead. That is what this
book is about. David Gompert and Phillip Saunders assess the
prospect of U.S.- Chinese competition in these domains and develop
three related analytic findings upon which their recommendations
are built. The first is that in each domain, the offense is
dominant. The second is that each side will be highly vulnerable to
a strike from the other side. And the third is that the retaliating
side will still be able to do unacceptable damage to the initiating
party. Therefore, the authors make an important recommendation:
that the United States propose a comprehensive approach based on
mutual restraint whereby it and China can mitigate their growing
strategic vulnerabilities. Unlike the Cold War, this mutual
restraint regime may not take the form of binding treaties. But
patterns of understanding and restraint may be enough to maintain
stability. Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs,
Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense
University Press.
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