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A Climate Policy Revolution - What the Science of Complexity Reveals about Saving Our Planet (Hardcover)
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A Climate Policy Revolution - What the Science of Complexity Reveals about Saving Our Planet (Hardcover)
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Humanity's best hope for confronting the looming climate crisis
rests with the new science of complexity. The sheer complexity of
climate change stops most solutions in their tracks. How do we give
up fossil fuels when energy is connected to everything, from
great-power contests to the value of your pension? Global economic
growth depends on consumption, but that also produces the garbage
now choking the oceans. To give up cars, coal, or meat would upend
industries and entire ways of life. Faced with seemingly impossible
tradeoffs, politicians dither and economists offer solutions at the
margins, all while we flirt with the sixth extinction. That's why
humanity's last best hope is the young science of complex systems.
Quitting coal, making autonomous cars ubiquitous, ending the
middle-class addiction to consumption: all necessary to head off
climate catastrophe, all deemed fantasies by pundits and
policymakers, and all plausible in a complex systems view. Roland
Kupers shows how we have already broken the interwoven path
dependencies that make fundamental change so daunting. Consider the
mid-2000s, when, against all predictions, the United States rapidly
switched from a reliance on coal primarily to natural gas. The
change required targeted regulations, a few lone investors,
independent researchers, and generous technology subsidies. But in
a stunningly short period of time, shale oil nudged out coal, and
carbon dioxide emissions dropped by 10 percent. Kupers shows how to
replicate such patterns in order to improve transit, reduce
plastics consumption, and temper the environmental impact of
middle-class diets. Whether dissecting China's Ecological
Civilization or the United States' Green New Deal, Kupers describes
what's folly, what's possible, and which solutions just might work.
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