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The Changing German Voter (Hardcover)
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The Changing German Voter (Hardcover)
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This is an open access title available under the terms of a CC
BY-NC-ND 4.0 International licence. It is free to read at Oxford
Scholarship Online and offered as a free PDF download from OUP and
selected open access locations. Over the past half century, the
behavior of German voters has changed profoundly - at first rather
gradually, but during the last decade at accelerated speed.
Electoral decision-making has become much more volatile, rendering
election outcomes less predictable. Party system fragmentation
intensified sharply. The success of the AfD put an end to Germany's
exceptionality as one of the few European countries without a
strong right-wing populist party. Utilizing a wide range of data
compiled by the German Longitudinal Election Study, the book
examines changing voters' behavior in the context of changing
parties, campaigns, and media during the period of its hitherto
most dramatically increased fluidity at the 2009, 2013, and 2017
federal elections. Guided by the notions of realignment and
dealignment the study addresses three questions: How did the
turbulences that increasingly characterize German electoral
politics come about? How did they in turn condition voters'
decision-making? How were voters' attitudes and choices affected by
situational factors that pertained to the specifics of particular
elections? The Changing German Voter demonstrates how traditional
cleavages lost their grip on voters and a new socio-cultural line
of conflict became the dominant axis of party competition. A series
of major crises, but also programmatic shifts of the established
parties promoted this development. It led to a segmentation of the
party system that pits the right-wing populist AfD against the
traditional parties. The book also demonstrates the relevance of
coalition preferences, candidate images as well as media and
campaign effects for voters' attitudes, beliefs, and preferences.
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