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Dollar, Euros and Debt - How we got into the Fiscal Crisis and how we get out of it (Hardcover)
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Dollar, Euros and Debt - How we got into the Fiscal Crisis and how we get out of it (Hardcover)
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The current economic crisis has been assumed to reflect a cyclical
problem, and some
economists have asked that it be dealt with 'fiscal stimulus
packages', especially
packages associated with public spending. This action is similar to
that of giving
steroids to a patient who suffers from a serious illness. It might
make him or her feel
temporarily better, but it actually aggravates the illness.
Dollars, Euro's, and Debt suggests that an increase in public
spending is the wrong
medicine, because it was precisely the increase in public spending
that created some
of the structural problems that are now confused with, or have led
to, the cyclical
slowdowns. The book argues that, over the years, and in a growing
number of
countries, the high and increasing levels of public spending were,
first and progressively,
being financed by higher tax levels and, subsequently, by
increasing borrowing.
In the early years of the twenty-first century governments started
facing strong
taxpayers' resistance to tax increases. Thus, they relied more and
more on public
borrowing, pushing the public debts to high levels. More recently
they started facing
stronger resistance by private lenders, that led to the progressive
easing of monetary
conditions by central banks. The central banks' actions have made
it difficult to
separate fiscal from monetary actions and have hidden some of the
true deterioration
in the fiscal accounts. They have also increased future uncertainty
and potential 'time
consistency' problems. The book evaluates the effects of 'fiscal
stimulus packages',
especially when they start from precarious fiscal conditions, and
presents a novel
'law of public expenditure growth', and suggests how that law may
help in the design
of 'exit strategies' from the current crisis. It also discusses
similarities and differences
between the monetary union that the euro and the monetary union
that is the dollar.
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