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Utility Theories: Measurements and Applications (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1992)
Loot Price: R5,812
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Utility Theories: Measurements and Applications (Paperback, Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 1992)
Series: Studies in Risk and Uncertainty, 3
Expected to ship within 10 - 15 working days
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Traditional utility theory, growing out of the ideas of von Neumann
& Morgenstern and Savage, asserts that wise decision makers
should maximize some form of expected utility. Decision analysis as
a technology implements this prescription. But even after careful
thought, people do not necessarily behave that way. The new
generalized utility theories attempt to model what people actually
do. This book grows out of a NSF-sponsored Conference that brought
generalized utility theorists and decision analysts together to
examine the normative, prescriptive, and descriptive implications
of the new utility theories. The book begins with a review of the
phenomena that the new utility theories are intended to explain and
of the theories themselves. It then presents the old time religion'
of utility maximization as a normative and prescriptive theory. It
explores how utility maximization needs to be and can be amplified
and supplemented for practical prescriptive purposes. The next
section of the book looks at what characteristics generalized
utility theories would need to have in order to be prescriptively
useful. The crucial one turns out to be a form of path
independence. Two chapters show that the form of path independence
essentially forces the theory embodying it to be a version of
traditional utility maximization. The next section of the book
looks at the relation between gneralized utility theories and the
data they are intended to explain. A final section contains an
evaluative discussion that weaves the themes of the book together.
Utility Theories: Measurements and Applications provides a
definitive answer to the question about the relation between new
utility theories and decisionanalysis that inspired it. It also
brings into focus a number of related questions, and reports a
great deal of theoretical and empirical progress on the topics to
which it is addressed.
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