Victim, not instigator of the Asian Financial Crisis, Hong Kong
was the only economy that succeeded in defending its fully
convertible currency, indeed its entire financial system, against
speculators, but the price it paid for success has been deep
recession. Jao gives an objective, even-handed account and
analysis. Without political or ideological preconsiderations he
shows how Hong Kong authorities handled their intervention in the
equity market in August 1998. Explaining the conventional wisdom
that no fixed exchange rate regime can hold out for long against
massive speculation. He goes further to show that Hong Kong
contributed not only to the eventual easing of the AFC, but to
economic stability throughout Asia as well.
Jao opens with a discussion of the nature, causes, and
consequences of the AFC. After an overview of Hong Kong's economic
and financial fundamentals on the eve of the crisis, he examines
the impact it had up close. He examines the massive speculation
against the Hong Kong dollar, explaining why speculators were
defeated. The AFC's impact on the assets market are also explored.
He also analyzes the impact on the financial sector and the real
economy. Jao studies and answers two hard questions: why was the
economic downturn so severe and why was the territory initially a
laggard in economic recovery? He then takes up China's role, and
presents an objective, balanced view of Hong Kong's money and
finance under Chinese sovereignty, followed by a discussion of how
China herself coped with the AFC. The book concludes with an
in-depth discussion of the lessons the AFC has taught us and the
author's reflections on post-AFC issues.
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